R. Saravanan

R. Saravanan

@sarava.net

Climate scientist, Professor at Texas A&M University. Book: ClimateDemon.com, https://Metamodel.blog, https://github.com/mitotic, More: https://r.saravanan.us Check out my curating Bluesky client https://Skylimit.dev: 2.7, #climate, #skylimit,

3.3K followers667 following875 posts

R. Saravanan reposted

1/ After seeing a lot of Polymarket videos on social media, my @WSJ colleagues and I wanted to understand Polymarket’s marketing. After watching a bunch of videos, we noticed that the website featured in them was almost, but not quite, identical to Polymarket’s actual platform.

R. Saravanan reposted

New (open access) research led by Dmitri Kalashnikov on Western U.S. sub-daily precipitation extremes, and associated trends. We both confirm familiar spatiotemporal patterns and find evidence of emerging increases in the heaviest downpours. [Thread]

sciencedirect.comClimatology and trends of annual maximum subdaily precipitation in the Western United StatesShort-duration precipitation extremes can threaten public safety and infrastructure by generating flash flooding and geophysical mass wasting events i…

R. Saravanan reposted

R. Saravanan reposted

1. Antarctic sea ice seemed to resist global warming for decades. While Arctic sea ice declined rapidly, Antarctic sea ice showed no clear overall loss and even expanded between 2007 and 2015. Then, after mid-2015, it changed abruptly. www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

science.orgCompound drivers of Antarctic sea ice loss and Southern Ocean destratificationRecent sea ice loss was initiated by ocean upwelling in East Antarctica and by radiative flux anomalies in West Antarctica.

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R. Saravanan reposted

I notice that tipping points (AMOC shutdown being the perennial favourite) are increasingly being used to justify development of dangerous and destabilizing geoengineering schemes. While there are interesting questions to address regarding tipping points, the excessive

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🌍🌐 Using AI for Earth system modelling for improved weather and climate predictions. Within the EU’s DestinE initiative, ECMWF together with partners, is extending ML-based weather towards representing the full Earth system. Discover our new page: destine.ecmwf.int/ml-earth-sys...

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It's not often that I look at a climate monitoring graph and go WTF?, but this is one of those moments. Did the land average temperature difference between daily maximum and daily minimum temperature really go sharply lower in 2025?

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I spoke with @ewolffwx.bsky.social about the importance of weather balloon observations on Weather Realness this week! Weather Realness is a production of the U of I's Department of Climate, Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences and Illinois Public Media. will.illinois.edu/weatherrealn...

will.illinois.eduWhy meteorologists still rely on weather balloons | Illinois Public MediaMeteorologists observe the weather with satellites and aircraft. But, scientists still use weather balloons, one of their most reliable instruments.

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Replying to @davidho.bsky.social

Might also help to point out that climate science research now gets way more discussion over here (and strongly suspect this is true of earth science in general given the active bsky geo community) ⚒️🧪

Kelly Hereid@kellyhereid.bsky.social

Where is climate research being talked about the most? Using the new @carbonbrief.org list of top 25 climate papers of 2025 and @altmetric.com, I found that compared with Twitter, these papers were discussed *** 58% more on Bluesky *** Read on for more 1/🧵 🧪⚒️

R. Saravanan reposted

What does it mean to be a “digital meteorologist” in today’s world? Joe Martucci, the first Certified Digital Meteorologist, is helping shape the future of weather communication. In AMS Headlines, he shares insights on digital media, AI, and community-focused forecasting: https://bit.ly/4tJwzEh

bit.lyJoe Martucci on Digital Meteorologyoe Martucci is president and director of meteorology at Cup A Joe Weather and Drone, where he delivers hyperlocal Jersey Shore forecasts, digital content, and consulting services with a focus on…

R. Saravanan reposted

R. Saravanan reposted

Classic study gave 146 economist teams the same dataset & got wildly different answers New paper reruns it with agentic AI. Claude Code & Codex land near the human median but with far tighter dispersion & no extremes This suggests that agentic AI is now useful for doing scalable economics research

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This is my favorite climate change chart. Japanese monks, aristocrats, and emperors kept meticulous records of cherry blossom festivals for 1,200 years and accidentally built the world's longest climate dataset.

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Replying to @drfishsg.bsky.social

It feels so weird to hear people say they use LLM to summarise a paper when the ABSTRACT exists - it's already been summarised for you! If there's something you want to find out from the paper which isn't in the abstract, then maybe you should READ IT

R. Saravanan reposted

AI summaries for Google search are particularly insidious because pre-AI snippets came with the website details, and I could do a quick scan to find the most trustworthy website to pick an answer from. Now not only are the search results tanked, but also impossible to reliably do a "quick" search.

R. Saravanan reposted

A single line in this piece just made my day: “The electricity system operator is understood to be preparing to run the grid without any gas for short periods as soon as this summer, in a first for the UK energy system.” Renewables *work*. And progress matters🎉 www.theguardian.com/environment/...

theguardian.comBritain breaks solar energy record twice as UK’s biggest solar farm gets approvalRecord high set on Monday and raised on Tuesday, with 14.4GW of electricity generated in sunny spring weather

R. Saravanan reposted

Howarth and Jacobson respond to Zeke's post. They ignore his substantive argument about the merits of GWP-20, focusing instead on the importance of near-term climate action. But the case for GWP-20 shouldn't rest whether we like the policy outcomes it produces. www.howarthlab.org/docs/GWP20_i...

howarthlab.orghowarthlab.org
Zeke Hausfather@zekehausfather.com

Using a 20-year period to compare methane the CO2 is a terrible idea. It heavily discounts the future and locks in greater warming. New York should move away from it, and instead set separate targets for CO2 and short-lived climate pollutants:

R. Saravanan reposted

Coding with LLMs like Claude Code is fun and fast, but for scientific codes one has to be super careful that the LLM did not mis-interpret your intention which is always stated with some ambiguity. (1/2)

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New: The April update to the ECMWF seasonal forecast shows an even greater likelihood of a strong El Niño later this year. A few ensemble members go to +3.5 °C anomaly in the Niño 3.4 region!

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This is excellent. I choose not to use AI for my writing, but Naomi's piece reminds me that I'm in no position then to make uninformed judgements about its potential.

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R. Saravanan reposted

R. Saravanan reposted

My undergraduate Climate class is making Instagram/TikTok-style videos to explain modes of climate variability to non-experts as part of their homework. My graduate Statistics class is making statistics-related memes for extra credit. It's a fun time of year for sure!

R. Saravanan reposted

🌍🌐 The DestinE AI Tooling Workshop strengthened the technical foundation of advancing machine learning (ML) within the EU initiative. Last month, experts from ECMWF and partner institutions gathered in the Netherlands for a 2,5 day hands-on workshop. Read more ➡️ destine.ecmwf.int/news/destine...

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