Will Wilkinson

Will Wilkinson

@wlknsn.xyz

Tech policy and government affairs guy. Ex-Block, Niskanen, NYT, Economist, Cato. Los Angeles / Iowa City

14.4K followers4.2K following1.9K posts

Will Wilkinson reposted

I’m not a political journalist, so was gladly surprised at the community I found here last night. To Americans anxious about the upcoming elections, a key thing we learned in Brazil that might help you: DO NOT engage with the far-right online. Don’t share rage bait. Amplify your people. Ignore them.

Will Wilkinson reposted

Lula is to my left. Magyar is to my right. And I don’t care in the slightest, because they are the candidates of democracy against autocracy.

Will Wilkinson reposted

". Those in favor of “government efficiency” and “streamlining bureaucracy” often put the cart before the horse, forgetting that there is a basic, fundamental level of state capacity that must exist for any reforms to work."

Will Wilkinson reposted

“protein enriched chocolate chip cookie” is kinda the perfect synthesis of the conflicting american male desires to be a spartan warrior and also five years old

Will Wilkinson reposted

This is literally the end of the rule of law. If a President can pardon people committing crimes on his behalf - and the Supreme Court says he himself can't be prosecuted for crimes committed as part of his job - then the government becomes a lawless entity able to violate our rights without limit.

The Washington Sun@washingtonsun.com

New: White House attorneys are evaluating whether to issue mass pardons to junior staffers. https://www.washingtonsun.com/whitehouse/white-house-weighing-mass-pardons-for-junior-staff

Sophistry is bad and that’s what “debate” encourages. Dialogue between interlocutors who disagree but who are mutually motivated by a sincere desire for truth is one of the best things humans can do, but you can’t plan that or turn it into a public performance without ruining it.

Alex Says Stuff@alexsaysstuff.bsky.social

The fetishisation of "debate" as some sort of grand public good that everyone should do is so thoughtless and jarring to me because the more you actually do it the more it becomes apparent that genuinely constructive debate is actually a pretty niche thing.

Will Wilkinson reposted

I remember people on twitter dot com who found it genuinely shocking that I just don't really value debate as an activity, like in so admitting this I was basically saying I am an authoritarian tyrant. I found this odd! For reasons Alex is saying here - good and worthwhile debate is difficult!

Alex Says Stuff@alexsaysstuff.bsky.social

The fetishisation of "debate" as some sort of grand public good that everyone should do is so thoughtless and jarring to me because the more you actually do it the more it becomes apparent that genuinely constructive debate is actually a pretty niche thing.

I think El-Sayed rankles the likes of Brooks and Axelrod so much because he’s mastered the Kirby Frame. For guys accustomed to shaping opinion by manipulating political rivals into discussing issues from within a disadvantageous frame, it feels like cheating or at least bad sportsmanship.

bjkeefe@bjkeefe.bsky.social

This is a really cool guy, @abdulelsayed.bsky.social, talking about one of the shittiest people on the planet, @jd-vance-1.bsky.social, in response to a question from @gregsargent.bsky.social. [1/2]

For their generation, explaining why someone TO YOUR RIGHT is trying to force you to reply from within their bad-faith frame is out of bounds because the answer is usually bigotry or venality and it breaks a sort of bipartisan gentleman’s agreement to say so, even if it indisputably true.

This is a wild take when we’re in the middle of what could turn out to be one of the largest and most catastrophic misallocations of capital in human history driven by billionaire groupthink that was caused by a shared misinformation bubble that they created on purpose.

Most billionaire wealth isn't in yachts or jewelry — that's just a few percent of it. Most is productive business capital: companies that employ people, build things, and fund research. Tax that wealth and you're taxing the businesses that employ us all. Cato's Adam Michel explains.

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There’s a serious argument to be made that overly concentrated wealth leads to the systemic misallocation of capital, both as a general matter and especially in today’s specific case, such that reducing and breaking up large fortunes should be expected to boost efficiency, innovation and growth.

One thing I learned well as a professional libertarian is that the facts about what actually makes markets efficient is very much secondary to protecting the fortunes of actually-existing capitalism’s winners from any form of redistribution. Opposition to redistribution always comes first.

This is a wild take when we’re in the middle of what could turn out to be one of the largest and most catastrophic misallocations of capital in human history driven by billionaire groupthink that was caused by a shared misinformation bubble that they created on purpose.

Most billionaire wealth isn't in yachts or jewelry — that's just a few percent of it. Most is productive business capital: companies that employ people, build things, and fund research. Tax that wealth and you're taxing the businesses that employ us all. Cato's Adam Michel explains.

Will Wilkinson reposted

Past waves of automation have followed a script. Agriculture mechanized, got cheap, and shrank as a share of GDP, and value moved to manufacturing. Manufacturing automated and shrank, and value moved to services. Ben Moll and Alex Imas argue AI will follow that script rather than break it... 1/

braddelong.substack.comCROSSPOST: Ben Moll & Alex Imas: Will AI Soon Lead to Double-Digit [Annual Economic] Growth?The subheadline is: “Probably not. Here is why.” We ae not going to all move into the metaverse and wear sensory suits, which is what would be required for double-digit annual growth rates...

Will Wilkinson reposted

Replying to @mattgertz.bsky.social

“I should only pay taxes for things I use” is a fun precept to adopt after you’ve stopped using services that were funded by the full tax base — you would have needed to pay much much more when your kids were in school if seniors hadn’t been pitching in with property taxes back then!

It’s truly maddening. How much are houses worth in places with crumbling roads, tainted water, overgrown garbage strewn playgrounds, and shambling unschooled idiots?

Politico@politico.com

“I’m old. I’ve paid my home off,” said Ray Warner, a 72-year-old Akron resident. “Why would I pay property tax?” Across the country, homeowners are asking the same question and revolting against property taxes at a scale not seen in a half century.

Will Wilkinson reposted

The generation that got to buy cheap houses thanks to a postwar construction boom, then blocked new housing construction to juice their asset values is now whining that they have to pay taxes on their unearned wealth. Just breathtaking selfishness.

“Goody Two Shoes” by Adam Ant, 1982

Mark Thompson@markreckons.bsky.social

First single you bought with your own money. No lying! Mine: "Red Box - Lean on Me (Ah-Li-Ayo)", 1985. Still know every word.

Drove four hours to Milwaukee with my kid to hear an orchestra play the music of Undertale. My boy beamed and I learned a great deal about my culture. Then, as we were filing out in high spirits, the Brewers won and everybody cheered. I enjoy but do not begin to understand this world.

Will Wilkinson reposted

Replying to @niedermeyer.online

were the machines in fact close to human-level consciousness in the mid-1960s? if not, why were so many people so convinced that they were, and why are we now immune from whatever tendency drove that view?

Will Wilkinson reposted

Just gonna repost this: You can’t “prove” anything isn’t conscious — a plant, a rock, your iPhone — but even without deeply understanding the nature of consciousness, we can say there’s no good reason to expect it to correlate with what LLMs are good at. juliansanchez.substack.com/p/dont-fall-...

juliansanchez.substack.comDon't Fall in Love With Your ToasterA quick argument about AI consciousness
Will Stancil@whstancil.bsky.social

yeah a lot of this debate boils down to this: "shut up, nerd, why are you making me think about this obnoxious nerd stuff, everyone already knows the real answer" the problem is that the track record of the people saying "shut up, nerd, we already know this" is, historically, pretttttttty bad

Will Wilkinson reposted

the problem with recommending anything because you bought it fifteen years ago and it’s lasted is thats no guarantee that the ones they’re selling today will because tricking you into overpaying for something that resembles a product that used to be good is one of the two business models now

I deny that "AIs aren't conscious" is a strong affirmative claim. It is neither strong nor affirmative. Not sure what we're doing here.

Will Stancil@whstancil.bsky.social

Again: “AIs aren’t conscious” is a strong, affirmative claim. It implies a lot of specific things about consciousness. It requires strong evidence. “We can’t say for sure if AI is conscious” is a weaker, cautious claim. It doesn’t make any particular evidence about consciousness.

I agree with "We can't say for sure if AI is conscious" in the same sense that I agree with "We can't say for sure if plants are conscious." That lack of certainty has no more/less relevance to questions about the moral status of AI models than similar uncertainty about the moral status of plants.

Will Wilkinson reposted

Harris PhD student Jacob Herbstman has an important working paper: The first I've seen to rigorously quantify the costs of aldermanic prerogative in Chicago. More stringent alders -> reduced permit activity and lower density, which means less housing supply and higher housing costs in Chicago.

The mood is upbeat here in Iowa City thanks to Saturday’s miracle at The Big House and today’s Atlanta Hawkeyes gaffe.

Will Wilkinson reposted

So-called “inclusionary zoning,” the practice of requiring home builders to rent new apartments at a loss to low-income tenants, is a tax on new housing that worsens the housing shortage and raises rents overall in exchange for a handful of means-tested units. It’s bad policy!

thecooldown.comGreater Boston builders say affordable-unit rules stall housing, but Boston won't budgeDevelopers and city leaders across Greater Boston are clashing over whether affordable-housing requirements are helping address the region's housing shortage.

Will Wilkinson reposted

Tennessee plans to execute a woman tomorrow. She was 18 when she committed the crime. She's now 50. Like most on death row, she's also a victim. And like most on death row, she's a far different person now than she was then. No one humanizes the condemned better than @lilianasegura.bsky.social.

theintercept.comThe “Satanic Panic” Made Her a True-Crime Obsession. The Truth Is More Haunting.After 30 years on death row, Christa Pike faces execution for a grisly murder she committed at 18.

Will Wilkinson reposted

"The 'economic issues not culture wars' frame adopted by much of the Democratic Party is entirely wrongheaded. It’s an example of intellectual dishonesty, moral cowardice, historical inaccuracy, and flawed electoral politics all wrapped together." newrepublic.com/article/2159...

newrepublic.comWhy Democrats Should Stop Using the Phrase “Culture Wars”Texas’s Gina Hinojosa and others slamming the party for focusing too much on so-called cultural issues are pushing a flawed electoral and policy strategy.

I turned off Iowa-Michigan when Iowa was down with like 4 seconds left, sure the Hawkeyes had lost. What a pleasant surprise.