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Prior tech booms, even the NFT Moment, did seem to have more of a collective sense that an opportunistic normal person could cash in on them (and some did). Now, it *feels* like only the employees of a very small number of companies and their investors are actually *profiting* from the AI boom.

The argument seems to be more that “these tools will help normal people build stuff that they can make money off of,” but where’s the evidence that this is happening? People ARE using LLMs to code Stuff, often quite cool stuff - but is this making them money? Idk?

Feels like tech has long had the baked in assumption that people making stuff will = Money for at least some of them (with good timing and luck) - and it at least FEELS (again) like this is breaking down rapidly.

It also FEELS like companies do not have the foggiest idea how to hire or fund people who have become genuinely good at using The Robot

In the long wake of the Great Recession, the classic tiresome, pat answer to people who couldn’t find a decent job was “learn to code.” Now, do we have a similarily oversimplified yet sorta-plausible answer for people who no longer can find stable employment? I don’t think we do. That’s unsettling.

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Teach? All kinds of places need teachers. The pay starts pretty low, but gets better, and the insurance is usually pretty good. I mean, even with an emergency license, you do still have to get certified, and then get a master’s, and your job is a political football, and… wait, nevermind. This sucks.

Mostly in red states. In my blue state pay with a temp license starts at $60k. I am starting my 9th year in the classroom making $92k with a pension and loan forgiveness on the horizon. Like healthcare, it's not for everyone though.

Starting salary where I teach now near Pittsburgh is in the low $40k range, and the pensions in both NM and PA have gotten much worse just in the last decade. I was in my 18th year of teaching in Santa Fe, making just over $80k. It’s not great. I wouldn’t recommend it to mid-career switchers.

"Learn to weld" only works when people are planning big projects everywhere, but nobody knows what the price of steel will be next week. I know people trying to get started in metalworking and there isn't a ton of jobs rn

We absolutely do not, because of the financialization. Exchange value is totally unmoored from anything but narratives and shady backstops, private equity is destroying every industry, journalism is totally bought in to "CEO says". There's a ton of work that needs doing and no jobs.

And half of all professional govt and science jobs simultaneously cratered because woke And we started an oil crisis And we launched tariffs Like you couldn’t plan a national demolition this good if you tried

I see some people trying to claim the new answer to “I can’t find a job” is “healthcare,” but you can tell their heart isn’t really in it.

Yikes. Sure, we'll always need healthcare, just like we'll always need childcare -- but that doesn't mean those will be good, well-paying jobs that don't grind you to dust.

i got halfway through a medical degree and worked in healthcare for about a decade previously... but the only job listings rn are for practitioner roles OR clerical/coder float pool contracts with no benefits for barely above minimum wage, often requiring a second language fluency. we're doomed.

And I mean, yeah, if you know healthcare workers, you probably also know that working in healthcare (if you don’t have a genuine interest in it) really does not seem like a particularly attractive proposition right now

It is true that there IS a very obvious and apparently rather easy way for normal people to make money off of GenAI right now: unfortunately this way is “scams.”

I quit teaching because I realized I was phoning it in (and also being stuck as an adjunct wasn't super incentivizing). I couldn't imagine recommending *healthcare* to people unless they want to work in the field, phoning it in there is so much worse!

I suspect that the "go work in healthcare!" ends up being "work in medical coding and billing!" - that's the way it was for a brief period about twenty years ago, when all of a sudden our bookstore started selling a LOT more copies of the ICD-9-CM than we used to.

"healthcare" should be understood as "work done to benefit other human beings, not primarily a for-profit company" the resilience of healthcare comes from its marriage of advanced technology and tolerance/embrace of human frailty and redemption

at our place, we have a very strong culture of teamwork and shared mission across all layers of the enterprise –– not just patient care –– which helps us recruit & retain people who feel the same way 90+% of the positions are just like any other large organization

I’m guessing it’ll be endless “learn to blue collar trade” and programs in schools to host more of these programs which never develop as they run into obvious cost and logistics issues.

Probably I had a friend try to become an electrician, only to find out that apprenticeship in our area is a nightmare of graft and having to know somebody I went STEM and it is no better I hate this timeline

I feel *extremely* lucky that I landed a tech job at a not-tech-but-tech-adjacent company where the boom-bust cycles in FAANG-world have largely passed me by. But I’d be lying if I said anything feels safe, much less has a bright future. The bolt’s busted loose from the lever.

I do regularly encourage people to explore building trades, unionized if possible, but that's not something with infinite capacity (among other problems such as requisite physical fitness)