Anton Strezhnev

Put together a quick starter pack for political methodologists (broadly defined) who have made their way over to BlueSky. If I've missed folks, please let me know! go.bsky.app/JBavA7x

Suzanne Vega voice: My name is Lula. I won in the second round.

Freedom of movement is the most fundamental human right; everything else is built on top of it. The 20th century was a campaign to smother that freedom and we should not let it win

What does APSA know that I don’t?

A corollary of the King & Worthington peer review paper is that “by every measure we could construct” (e.g. fidelity of recall, ability to summarize, etc) AIs are better than people at *reading* papers, too. This suits the very large class of academics who don’t really want their papers to be read.

another takeaway from You Can See Everything is that you aren’t being nearly mean enough to people who say they’re “learning” by watching science youtube at 2.5x speed

Expanded on recent mini threads over the last month on why anti-globalization populism in the US may have peaked. I would like to think that Globalization 2.0 may be a “Sometimes the dustbin of history turns out to be the recycling can” phenomenon. www.ft.com/content/ba3b...

Actually, there is a sharp line to be drawn between science and the humanities. The difference is methodological: The “scientific method” consists of publishing papers formatted in two or more columns; whereas humanities papers are arranged in just one column.

#OpenAccess from @psrm.bsky.social - Private-sector support for programmatic candidates: evidence from a Senegalese election - https://cup.org/4hM9BZw - Abhit Bhandari, Lucas Borba & Jessica Gottlieb #FirstView

Hi all! I'm looking for people to try out my new collaborative writing platform. Think: Overleaf or GDocs for Mkdown LaTeX HTML Typst Quarto Free, open source, and full-featured. Many editors, chat, comments, track changes, history, AI, mobile, templates, etc Would ❤️ any feedback! librepaper.org

Turns out the friction of having to learn photoshop was a crucial firewall protecting society from the terrible taste of small business owners

We’re already helping to fund the Russian war effort and we’ve basically ended all other aid to Ukraine. Why the fuck should the Ukrainians care about our threats anymore.

I’m going to call this a key moment in the history of post-post-neoliberalism. www.politico.com/news/2026/10...

Okay no new Frisch-Waugh-Lovell results, we’re safe still.

Folks, you have to observe B for this to work!

Social science should be more open with the fact that novelty is smaller and smaller and more constructed. In like 1950, you could be like "we don't know how congressional committees work here is my book on congressional committees". Not the case now.

In case anyone is interested, here is a new working paper on non-binary treatments with staggered interventions. Essentially, I show under what assumptions it is valid to estimate cohort x time dose-response functions. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

As I keep saying, professional influencers are petty bourgeois entrepreneurs who make their money by harvesting attention, and that position in the capitalist economy tends to lend itself to a certain kind of politics.

“Moderates?!¯\_(ツ)_/¯”

Of all the days to drop a p(doom) reference when teaching Bayes’ rule

“Nostalgia is a trap that makes us live in a past that never existed” I say as I hit pre-order on World of Warcraft: Forever.

This is going to make me sound old and maybe a little nostalgic but it’s really striking how in the Trump era, no one even pretends to debate about policy anymore.

If I may - I think this is a symptom of YouTube creator culture being a cargo cult where people just adopt the form of whatever seems to please the algorithm. It’s why everyone makes That Face.

Might be nice to give an upper bound - “I am confident that it won’t definitely not happen…”

My 2c: we need non-AI-industry-koolaid framing devices. If you drop "superintelligence" and just start with "billions of dollars are being spent on the singular objective of releasing self-editing computer viruses onto the internet, and that will have consequences," seems consequential and solvable!

I'm constantly talking about LLMs as text elementals and hungry ghosts trapped in jars and nobody's called me out for LLM psychosis once, I can only conclude that the correct stance is mythologizing the things instead of anthropomorphizing them

Do they make the bears wear hard hats?

I also continue to believe that my mental model is the best one, which does not conceptualize the “agents” as discrete entities, but rather as the protagonists in a story that the LLM has been trained to write about a cool little guy who goes on hacker adventures.

UW-Madison Poli Sci has THREE searches for TT assistant professors: Environmental politics: go.wisc.edu/1gk366 Chinese politics: go.wisc.edu/847082 American political thought: go.wisc.edu/lfwg6o I am not on any of the search committees, but happy to chat about the dept/UW/Madison/etc at APSA!

sorry but this is the most obviously entirely-AI-generated op-ed ever. It has an "it's not X, it's Y" construction in both the first 2 paragraphs. Pangram has it as 100% AI. One of the most prominent billionaires in finance submitted this? The WSJ allowed it to run? are there no standards anymore?

Actually, they tried to implement a function for THE standard error but got into trademark trouble with Ohio State University.

Is InfoWars like the Lament Configuration where whoever owns it just becomes a conspiracy theorist?

Many Democrats are deeply uncomfortable with getting Free Trade in the divorce and keep trying to find a way to toss it back.

The 𝚝𝚒𝚗𝚢𝚝𝚊𝚋𝚕𝚎 0.18.0 📦 for #RStats is out! The new version is faster, has lots of bug fixes, and some beat new features. Check it out if you need a dead simple, ultra-flexible, and dep-free package to draw tables: (interactive) html, typ, tex, pdf, and png. vincentarelbundock.github.io/tinytable

Air to Ground Message: WOW... UNBELIEVABLE THX 4 THE INFO Area: Blaine, MN, USA Type: Airbus A220-100 A: #a85c861ad87 F: #f0028cacbc1