Connor Turner
Connor Turner
@ctoverdrive.bsky.social
A Pixel Pusher and recovering politico. Transplanted #yyc’er, now living #yvr. I run armadillostudios and still hate Helvetica.
301 followers243 following1.9K posts
Connor Turner reposted
Connor Turner reposted
Connor Turner reposted
48% Turnout answers the questions of what happened last night. Potential #BCNDP voters stayed home in droves.
Voter turnout was low (est. 48%, ~ 10% drop?). The Cons obviously did extremely well. Greens are up from their low in 2024, but at 11% are still within historical norms (8-15%). What changed? I doubt all those NDP votes switched to Con. I'm guessing low turnout = NDP voters staying home. #bcpoli
Connor Turner reposted
#bcpoli (Unless undecideds swing wildly tomorrow)...
(Models Available For Subscribers) British Columbia Provincial Polling: CON: 44% (-) NDP: 39% (-6) GRN: 13% (+5) ONE: 2% (New) CNBC: 1% (New) Ipsos / October 22, 2026 / n=1260 / Online (% Change With 2024 Election) Check out @338canada.bsky.social here: 338canada.com/bc
Connor Turner reposted
Happy for Forge and happy my gut feeling came through. That being said, with #vwfc current form (last three games) they would have probably taken care of Forge FC last night.
I secretly didn’t want #VWFC in the #CanChamp final as it really felt like a CPL team would have a great chance to pull an upset. Four in a row is quite a feat, but they felt due for a stumble.
Connor Turner reposted
Connor Turner reposted
I secretly didn’t want #VWFC in the #CanChamp final as it really felt like a CPL team would have a great chance to pull an upset. Four in a row is quite a feat, but they felt due for a stumble.
1-0 Forge in #CanChamp final. Deep in first half stoppage time. Get in! Montreal get relegated if they lose this right?
Connor Turner reposted
There’s a big rally there tonight that they are really pushing. I feel like they are hoping they can win the Island, Vancouver/Burnaby/NW/PC and surrey to hold the fort. #bcndp (Also holding a campaign rally when you are behind in the polls like this is a waste if resources. #goknockdoors)
Connor Turner reposted
If Eby had given the conservatives a couple of weeks post KLF stepping down this would have been a solid reasoning, but he didn’t wait and it looks opportunistic. #bcpoli
I've chatted with a few NDP MLAs and staffers on this, and they were truly and honestly stressed about how often they had late night procedural wrangling and votes where the government could have been defeated The problem is, I'm not sure anyone outside of NDP family members cares in the slightest
While I’m not shocked that Muse has significant coding issues, I’m more shocked that people were willing to share vital information that something that was only live for two weeks. Like these people should know better.
The company is suspending the feature after security researchers discovered how easy it was to access sensitive information shared with the AI assistant.
Connor Turner reposted
Premier Smith was deliberately cautious when speaking about the outcomes of Questions 6-9. And rightly so. With roughly 500k mail in ballots yet to be counted for each, and with those swinging hard No on other Q’s, I expect these Qs to fail.
New approach. Here i take the # of votes remaining by each voting method (elxn day, advanced, mail-in, mobile) and used their % Yes share from votes cast to get a projected outcome. Because so many mail-in ballots are remaining and their %Yes is low, this flips Q6-9 to No and tightens Q1-5.
Connor Turner reposted
Connor Turner reposted
Connor Turner reposted
Replying to @kristadb1.bsky.social
Maaaaaaaaaybe this is because Danielle Smith and the UCP have been trying to underfund Elections Alberta and then bombarded the poor bastards with TEN!! TEN!!! referendum questions. ffs bsky.app/profile/cthe...
Elections Alberts just confiirmed that they don't know if all of their polls are closed so that's why we don't have results. Given our top resource, it's wild how poorly an oiled machine we are.
Connor Turner reposted
Connor Turner reposted
(Models Available For Subscribers) British Columbia Provincial Polling: CON: 46% (+2) NDP: 43% (-2) GRN: 8% (-) Others: 2% Angus Reid / October 19, 2026 / n=793 / Online (% Change With 2024 Election) Check out @338canada.bsky.social here: 338canada.com/bc
Angus Reid showing tighter race is probably good news for the #BCNDP, but they are going to need a massive GOTV. I will say they have been blitzing radio, podcasts, and stingray this past week. “As of today, the #BCCons (46 per cent) hold a three-point lead over the BC NDP (43 per cent).” #BCpoli
BC NDP and Conservatives in a 'statistical tie' as election night nears
Connor Turner reposted