Post

When satire is too true.

oh... i see. that clears that up.

The conservatives didn't win so much as the NDP just lost more

The problematic thing about doing a panicked snap election during a municipal election, is that this also catches your volunteers off guard and you could struggle to mobilize a get out the vote in the same way. (Setting aside the whole issue of *if* they wanted to vote for you anyway)

Also nice “What’s the Frequency, Kenneth” deep cut.

Not voting is in itself a vote, Eby has a long string of broken promises behind him so nobody trusted him to do anything

f*ckin' hell

If the 275,000 who voted NDP in 2024 had voted this time the NDP would have increased their majority.

and when you consider that OneBC got 27,000 votes, the number of NDP to Conservative voters is probably even smaller then we think

I do believe something is in the works!

Among other things, debunks any notion that the Green Party is to blame for the NDP defeat.

bcndp abandoned their base to move to right, becoming #bcliberalsLite Kept virtue signalling but not virtuous action So the base never bothered to show up to vote for them, voted for a progressive party #BCGreens maybe some voted cons and many didn't show up vote for #BCliberalsLite #bcpoli

How were so many voters flipped in a snap election? Targeted advertising?

A month of the punish Eby may have been effective. The vulnerable are going to be punished instead.

The NDP is collapsing nationally. I reluctantly voted Eby but wish there was a viable option. It ain't green

An orange sunset, not a blue wave.

70,000 mail-in ballots will be counted during the final tally Nov. 6 - 10.

Yes, there are 70,000 mail in ballots left to count.

BC voted with their feet it. Don't people ever learn?

And his strategists, consultants, and comms people - all those who encouraged or agreed with him about the election call, and were responsible for their spectacularly ineffective messaging during the campaign - need to be given the boot.

You’ve missed the point

Oh, please.

I wanted to share it, but didn't have the cognitive energy to add it myself, so thank you so much for doing this!! 💗 (I wish @jmcelroy.bsky.social had added alt text because it is a simple and meaningful way to make this useful info more accessible!)

This was an Eby problem. Horgan was a much better Premier.

It's called the Green Party which is why they are the only party to gain voters

why we have the Green party

eby the WOAT

Give electors a bad choice and don't be surprised when they make bad choices about voting at all #BCpoli #abpoli #cdnpoli bsky.app/profile/bigc...

The people who let the "punish Eby" campaign sway them punished the vulnerable who now will be persecuted. Selfish, privileged people caring more about their feels than any of the issues. Hoekstra has been meeting with Doerkson. Welcome to the vassal state of Texas North.

That's why I believe a robust leadership campaign, especially with new blood from outside the previous NDP caucus incumbents, could revitalize this party for 2030. They have room to grow whereas the Cons have a high floor and a much lower ceiling, especially if an internecine struggle ensues.

“Here’s a ….. hidden gem of a chart”

Charts ftw! Took me like 800 words to say that in my piece.

This excludes ABSENTEE BALLOTS too, because this was an assigned ballot box election if you didn’t go there you had to vote absentee. So all those people in Vancouver who went to their closest voting place but not their assigned box, those votes have yet to be counted, feels like a lot.

Please dear help me this time please 😭😭🫂🙏

David Eby has got the political skills of a rock. He should've said at the news conference. We've only got a one seat majority all it takes someone to get into a car accident before a vote and our government falls and we have an election & explain why they couldn't pass legislation sometimes

It sometimes works but it's very very risky if people are fed up with you

They should count those 2024 mail-ins asap

I was sad before I saw these statistics. Now I’m sad in a different way. Many thanks Justin.

70,000 2026 mail-in ballots haven't been counted. These mail-in and absentee ballots will be tallied during the final count, which is scheduled to take place between November 6 and November 10, 2026.

It kinda feels like a lot of noise for the same 2 seats and a small handful of vote-split ridings on the southern island.

I hope one day #BCGreens decide to be a year round professional party, do better fundraising and hire full time organizers And a year in advance of elxns IF govt keeps regular elxns, they do elxn's in each ridings for candidates Adam Olson campaigned for 4 years before he won a seat in #bcleg

I think it would be one thing if you had a 1:1 or even 1:2 NDP decline:Green gain. But it’s 1:7 with a low voter turn out. So it’s good that the Greens didn’t lose voters. But this isn’t really a big leap forward to them.

There seems to be a data point missing

I've been looking for any kind of silver lining at all, I'll take it

The B.C. election shows you need to give people a reason to vote for you beyond the Conservatives are horrible (and they are) especially when you are calling an unnecessary election.

This should read that mail in ballots from 2026 aren't counted yet, as surely the 2024 mail in ballots have been counted by now? And how many ballots is that, does it affect the vote turnout drop shown in the graph?

Maybe my riding was uniquely bad (they did rent their main electoral second story office knowing in advance there was a broken elevator) but...

Eby was promising the moon and the stars by the end of the campaign. NDP voters saw no other way to get rid of him.

Triangulation so asinine it makes a quarter million people give up on a better world entirely. Truly bleak stuff.

God damn