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Government’s wins are often invisible: Systems that avoid plane crashes; alliances that avert war; surveillance that prevent pandemics. Government wins are often *the avoidance of loss.* So how do we tell the story of the destruction of government? The story of future losses *not* averted?

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It has got to be portraits of fired cancer researchers, bankrupt farms, airport delays, measles epidemics and citizens arrested for “no papers.” And it has to be told locally.

3. Tell human, individual stories. Find someone whose job was cut and tell that story. Dig into /r/fednews for a start. Show tangible impact. An individual story resonates more than "70,000 buyouts" or "1,000 layoffs". And the cynic in me thinks that'll grab more clicks, so editors will love it.

Risk mitigation, one of many things the Government spends a lot of resources on.. The current administration doesn't care about the public and it's quite obvious. Where we see risks, they see opportunity, and so do our adversaries, who love this fiasco and are quite intent on taking advantage.

Yes, a productive public sector is one that helps prevent crime, ill health, fires, floods etc. But those things tend to be poorly accounted for in measures of public sector outputs. Instead we count criminals prosecuted, patients treated, fires fought etc

I was just having this discussion with someone about COVID. They said that all the measures made no difference, just kept people apart. I tried to connect on a personal level (I didn't see my family for years), and also point out you don't see the deaths that *didn't* happen.

I pointed to flu deaths to try and draw a comparison. How many fewer people died when we were all masking and distancing compared to an "average" year (or this year 🫣). I was just brushed off, though.

This is a great thread. Government is basically one giant condom for the prevention of harm. In business you would measure the ROI on the money spent to prevent the unwanted outcome. But that’s too abstract for most people. Also, some of the same people don’t like condoms either.

Sadly, the people that you need to reach don't care about how their government functions until it affects them personally. They don't care about clean air until they can't breathe. Or water until they can't drink from the tap. I don't mean to be pessimistic. I think that I am being honest.

As one public health expert said at the beginning of the COVID pandemic: We will have succeeded if you think we overreacted. The prevention of a greater disaster makes most people think either that the government did too much or that the government didn’t do anything.

This question has been haunting me ever since Elon & co began their govt wrecking spree. Journalists are crippled in telling this tale. We cannot tally the wins because we cannot ever fully know why a war didn’t start or a plane didn’t crash. And we cannot tally losses that are in the future.

Then change the way you tell the story. You know how inconvenient - or dangerous - it is when the power goes out? Or talk about how government impacts your day - that your toaster oven didn't catch on fire and your clothes have care tags, that you have clean water from the tap.

Sometimes “how would this be covered in another country” is a helpful exercise, but perhaps the field of journalism with the most experience generating this kind of content is…sports. I’d be interested to see how good sports journalists would approach covering government like this.

This is different than covering the private sector. Their wins and losses are easily measured in profit & loss categories. They do not count their wins in losses averted. And their failures are often hidden behind closed doors, trade secrets and NDAs.

Government’s public mission forces it to be transparent. Governments are subject to public records laws and public hearings. That means it's easier for journalists to uncover government failings than it is to cover corporate malfeasance. And yes, it is our job to do so.

But this information asymmetry has allowed cynical corporate aligned politicians to develop a false narrative that the government is a failing “deep state” that must be destroyed. That is not true. The proof is obvious: People want to move here. And it’s not just because of our great shopping.

I posted about this issue a few weeks ago: Imagine if we thought of taxes as investments in our collective future success, and reported on it accordingly. "10 year investment in schools and hospitals to pays dividends as successful healthy students enter workforce."

Planes, you might be able to. The NTSB has excellent stats going back a long time about plane crashes. If there is a significant change in the rate of these you will see it in the comparison (although of course someone else may have to keep stats in future :/ ).

And of course not just the rate but the *type* and *reason*. A change in the rate of commercial air crashes would be a bigger deal than a change in the rate of GA crashes. A change in how often ATC or other systems are a factor, also interesting (if again hard to do if they stop investigating).

Loss of opportunities, loss of services, increasing costs, international loss of respect and status. Cite international organizations classifying USA as dangerous now and canceling trips and collaborations. Loss of tourism, loss of business. All happening now.

Show charts of all the dangers in the past that decreased. Show the counts of saved lives. Show the charts with unchanged risks plotted and how much damage and life lists that would lead to. How many of their own friends would be lost to disease, everything they'd lose.

Brilliant. "The deep state": pre-emptive, risk-avoidance infrastructure - stupid people like Musk think "that's not productive therefore it's a waste of money". Counterfactual thinking is hard. "The deep state": making sure your kids don't get smallpox. #Causalsky #Causality #Counterfactuals

If you’re a reporter, reach out to “fired” employees. Call union. Call employees who remain—or agency where purges haven’t yet occurred. Stand in front of a bldg? Ask your colleagues who they know.

Those that do this work—or were doing it—need to speak out. Dems need to provide platforms: hearings, set up press interviews for them. “Fired” employees shouldn’t walk away; they should sit down w/ colleagues in their offices. Stay. Protest. Call media. Get friend to protest outside. Etc

Point out that DOGE is the very corrupt, elitist, deep state government they feared. Dems/media need to stop being so afraid of discussing our system as reverse Robin Hoodism. MAGA is angry about being ripped off and rightfully so. Discuss in plain language who it is that is actually robbing them.

One approach is to use a heat map like the chronological ones for vaccines or the grounding of flights during 9/11. It won’t convince conspiracy theorists but a strong image can make a strong argument even to low information voters.

I can only help you to begin. Tell the listener how the Body Politic, both sides of the Aisle, failed to hold Trump Admin responsible for the Pandemic death toll and then failed completely in holding the Jan 6 Insurrectionists to account. This is because your system of govt is diseased.

For one, we need to start talking about the progress we've achieved. Clean air, safe water, childhood health outcomes, food and consumer goods safety. We are a culture of airing grievances, not thankfulness and grace. We have created the personal vibes that have led to our political climate.

among other things, we need an accounting innovation. even now, we treat disaster recovery as a GDP gain and prevention as a fiscal cost. without the dollar figures, it's an uphill battle to show citizens the value of government

Investment & quality mgmt do that kind of accounting, eg ROI & loss functions. NHTSA does it for safety tech, eg airbags. IRS does it for ROI on agents. They have not been effective in shaping public opinion, else graphs like this would've motivated change toward EU-like health policies >20 yrs ago.

As a 'numbers person' I hate to admit it, but narratives are more politically effective than numbers. Reagan told apocryphal stories of welfare queens showing up in Cadillacs to get their welfare checks. "Death panels" helped kill Medicare for all. Musk's cuts will kill real people w real stories.

stories also cut both ways: when you assert that you're cutting waste but then find no waste and kill people instead, the story you're telling loses its power. no one believed the official story told by the Soviet government for the final decades of its existence, which is why it finally collapsed

Of course they've been used publicly. GHW Bush tried to convince ppl with numbers and even had a good name for it: Voodoo Economics. Reagan crushed him with charm and stories, then coopted him as his VP candidate. By making the stories of individuals hurt more famous Musk becomes more infamous.

Money isn't real — the fiction is used by those who understand it to profit from disaster and to undermine collective success. Perhaps we need to invent new methods of accounting, and new methods of prioritising human choices, beyond the paradigm of imaginary numbers in fictional ledgers?

fictions can be real too, but that is beside the point. in this context, money is just a unit of measure, and it's being applied inconsistently to count some things and not others or to miscount costs as gains or vice versa. this can be fixed an should be.

It is being used to count things that count differently: investment, savings, opportunity costs, income, wealth, etm. IMHO the usefulness of one currency unit for such cross-purposes is a core fault in the way we do things. That's also due to market dogma pervading Western thinking for fifty years.

however it's done, I think it's more important to tell it soon than to get it completely right; "this absence of government resulted in this broken thing happening to a person" only works as long as people remember it used to NOT be like that, and boy are people good at rationalizing

There's another part to consider: the parts of the government that the people DO interact with and benefit from are managed by states. So unless you look beyond the surface, removing those federal programs doesn't hurt you, because your Medicaid is called MediCal. Your ACA is called Kynect.

The people who vote for this sort of stuff are not convinced by facts. So when matter if you told them that the problem was there? They have a problem with object permanents. Other people and other things don't exist unless they are affected personally.

I think it's also important that pre-WW2 imperialism was driven by economic elites who saw their growth as limited by well-functioning nation states. These people saw the avoidance of loss very differently than the rest of their countries.

A good analogy is software testing. Companies don’t like spending money hiring testers…but they don’t understand how much money it saves them…until they don’t do software testing. A defect found early on in development costs xxx times less than if gets to production.

Maybe lame -- but see commercial aviation. There have been decades of increasing safety. Govmnts and businesses have to evaluate a return on investment in safety regulations, employment, materials, procedures. Risk analysis is both science and art. It has to be sold to workers. Simple models.

"Cost of Quality" type assessments. You can make a list of costs like investments in people, better materials, inspections, training, and on the other side, costs of internal failures (scrap, rework) and external failures (product failures, injury & death).