Laurent Guy

Laurent Guy

@laurentguy.bsky.social

Data scientist, market analyst, foreign policy realist, avid history consumer.

3.1K followers415 following4K posts

Laurent Guy reposted

not sure you can ever be secure in a marriage to someone named g flip

The Cut@thecut.com

Chrishell Stause announced that she and G Flip have separated after three years of marriage, adding that she doesn’t ‘have all the information or the reasons.’

Laurent Guy reposted

Replying to @brianbeutler.bsky.social

When Republicans assert that they'll be immune from accountability even in defeat, and Dems say it's a distraction from prices, it's like watching a computer play chess—maybe "right" on a scoring system. But fully drained of the moral force that drives politics. www.offmessage.net/p/wheres-the...

Laurent Guy reposted

The president is demanding that Republican Senate candidates stand next to him at rallies where he talks about asses (mostly one man’s) and brags about making gas prices higher. If his candidates lose, it’s because the elections were rigged.

Laurent Guy reposted

If still debating whether Donald Trump or Elon Musk willfully crippled Ukraine's missile defense, helping to slay innocent civilians, you are a rube. If the U.S. President had no role, then an oligarch governs national security. If not, the U.S. President serves Russia. Both answers are mortifying.

Laurent Guy reposted

In Michigan, Musk paid for calls targeting Muslims that painted Democrats as pro-Israel, and also paid for calls targeting Jews that painted Democrats as pro-Hamas.

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Laurent Guy reposted

When will there be serious consequences for lying? No liar on important matters should be on the public payroll.

Sen. Adam Schiff@schiff.senate.gov

ICE said Antonio Moreida jumped onto the hood of their vehicle. Now a local police investigation concludes that an ICE agent struck him with his SUV. The routine lying by ICE is the result of the example set by leadership of the Department of Homeland Security.

Laurent Guy reposted

Laurent Guy reposted

Replying to @sharonk.bsky.social

*when a dem is in power* The tree of liberty must be watered with the blood of tyrants *when a republican is in power* criticizing the government is treason actually

Laurent Guy reposted

“Ramaswamy’s ad embraces a woman who enabled sexual abuse—and uses the language of ‘parental estrangement’ to mobilize MAGA voters who can’t understand why their children won’t take their calls. But they know the reason. They just don’t want to accept it.” www.liberalcurrents.com/editors-note...

liberalcurrents.comEditor's Notes: For MAGA, Children Are PropertyThese people cannot comprehend the simple truth that their children are independent, autonomous beings, with their own lives and desires.

So, according to Ramaswamy, either Acton was raped as a child, in which case she is damaged, or she didn’t get raped, in which case she is a liar. Quite an epistemological trap.

MeidasTouch@meidastouch.com

NEW: Vivek Ramaswamy says Amy Acton being a victim of childhood sexual abuse makes her “flawed” while defending his ad featuring her estranged mother. “In politics sometimes it's a tough sport.”

Laurent Guy reposted

One of the things Teddy Roosevelt understood is that if any private citizen holds more power than the government, the republic is in deep trouble.

AFP News Agency@en.afp.com

Elon Musk threatens Democrats who want to investigate alleged corruption and his role in the US government if they win control of Congress next month. "Those who pick fights with me should understand that I will find out who is really pulling the strings and come for them” tinyurl.com/yjfn3u3k

Laurent Guy reposted

If your elderly relative routinely blew up at women and insulted them, grossly sexualized other men in public, regularly fell asleep in public mid-meeting repeatedly, and babbled incoherently you'd put him under care and not let him make important decisions.

Laurent Guy reposted

A serious newspaper would say, "video shows otherwise." There is ZERO ambiguity here and anyone who says otherwise is a Trumpian liar.

“Raises questions”?? In this Kavanaugh Stop, ICE agents swerve to hit a US citizen, knock him off his bike breaking his arm, tase him, cuff him as he screams in pain, blame him, lie about everything, threaten to charge him for damage to their SUV. www.nytimes.com/2026/10/20/u...

Laurent Guy reposted

How many times has this happened now?

John G.@iaincaradoc.bsky.social

Well... sort of. "Eleven people with lawful permanent resident status were arrested in California Monday for alleged voter fraud. Hours later, First Assistant Attorney for California Bill Essayli admitted that they may not have even voted."

Laurent Guy reposted

This is asking for a lawsuit. Wow.

Headquarters@headquartersnews.bsky.social

Leaked audio: Michigan Republican Mike Rogers asking for officers at polling stations to intimidate voters "We called the RNC early and said hey... Let's put police officers, retired or off-duty police officers as our poll watchers in Detroit because go ahead, try to intimidate them. Please."

Laurent Guy reposted

Emphasizing again that we cannot treat this as just business as usual. This is the President of the United States openly attacking an entire ethnic group.

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com

Trump: "You go up to Minnesota -- number one place in the entire country for the sale of Mercedes-Benz. And Somalians are buying them. They come here with low IQs and no money and they get rich. Do we feel stupid? Our fraud division is getting them all."

Laurent Guy reposted

"We are entering what may be the most dangerous phase in the life of the most dangerous political leader America has ever known." 💯

David Rothkopf@djrothkopf.bsky.social

Did we really win the Cold War? Defeat fascism? Bury the Confederacy? In retrospect, thanks to Trump, MAGA and their enablers, perhaps none of those things. My latest. Hope you’ll give it a read. davidrothkopf.substack.com/p/so-as-it-t...

Laurent Guy reposted

and just like that she deletes the tweet!!!!

Jen Rubin@jenrubin.bsky.social

Crawford made the error in reading from the script as it were, too closely aping Cruz. It's a pathetic example of CBS decline into MAGA propaganda

Laurent Guy reposted

Le 17 octobre, ce schéma a merveilleusement fonctionné n'est ce pas? Et donc on recommence le 5 novembre. Les habitants de Limoges, Marseille, Bordeaux, Grenoble, Montpellier, Lyon, Lille, sans parler de Paris, en seront ravis

Olivier Matras@oiiviermatras.bsky.social

Et puis quoi encore? La manif du 5 est organisée par l'inter-syndicale et seront présent les services d ordre des syndicats pour assurer qu'il n'y ait pas de débordement. Ce qu'il se passe à l'extérieur des manifs avec les casseurs est du ressort de la Police qui sait très bien de quoi il retourne.

Laurent Guy reposted

Fuckerberg

Ezra Levin ❌👑@ezralevin.bsky.social

❗❗❗Mark Zuckerberg's meta just suspended the No Kings Instagram account. I just rushed back from my local No Kings to jump on this. Bottom line, would be helpful for all pro-No Kings folks to elevate the issue and help us get the word out about No Kings today. The Nerd Reich strikes again.

So we saw The Invite. Super disappointing. Overacted, with a lot of yelling and little real sexual chemistry. Seth Rogen is crowned the hipsters’ Adam Sandler.

Laurent Guy reposted

Crazy strategy, but Democrats talking about Republicans honestly this cycle, rather than bending over backwards to make them feel loved, seems like it has been effective.

Troy Jackson@troyjackson207.bsky.social

Here's what I know — 100% of the time when Donald Trump needs Susan Collins for a vote, he gets it.

Laurent Guy reposted

At least Susan Collins can still fool the New York Times.

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com

Q: Can you name a time when you voted against Trump and it changed the outcome? SUSAN COLLINS: At one point, I had organized people to vote against Sec. Hegseth. At the very last minute one of our Republicans changed his mind. Otherwise he would've been defeated. Q: So it didn't change the outcome

Laurent Guy reposted

Spectacularly unserious politics. Seriously, get Shabana Mahmood to say on camera that she seriously believes incidences of terror-related crime to have increased by 2000% overnight. Nobody thinks that. It‘s bad, bad law by a self-indulgent, extremist Home Secretary.

Oliver Bullough@oliverbullough.bsky.social

Re the Sally Rooney news, I was looking up data on arrests under terrorism legislation the other day, and hadn't quite realised how utterly bonkers the effect of the Palestine Action prohibition had been. That big purple spike is basically all PA-related arrests.

Laurent Guy reposted

Replying to @alexip718.com

What I'm seeing is that Western journalists have essentially been potted plants in institutional greenhouses, so shielded from the realities of authoritarianism that they have zero immunity against new and old methods of propaganda, right as Trump blows the roof off the metaphorical greenhouse

sarah jeong@sarahjeong.bsky.social

i think that western journalists with limited or outdated experience with authoritarian propaganda environments don't know how much things have evolved in like, the last 15 years. like the degree to which propaganda is chaotic, distributed, insidious, memeified.

Laurent Guy reposted

it answered questions, it's didn't 'spark' them

Katie Zacharia's appearance at the podium as the new White House press secretary Tuesday sparked questions about whether she was ready to step into one of the world’s most scrutinized jobs. on.wsj.com/3UreYUX

Laurent Guy reposted

My quote of the day It was mathematics, the non-empirical science par excellence, wherein the mind appears to play only with itself, that turned out to be the science of sciences, delivering the key to those laws of nature and the universe that are concealed by appearances. Hannah Arendt

Laurent Guy reposted

Last night, Starlink was reportedly restricted in Ukraine due to a political decision made in Washington. Europeans should be aware that it is dangerous to depend on a partly hostile government for your security, as they could blackmail you at any time. www.theguardian.com/world/2026/o...

theguardian.comUkrainian soldiers in combat have access to Starlink satellite internet restrictedOutage of system managed by Elon Musk’s SpaceX comes as Russia launches ballistic missiles at Ukraine without any advance warning from US

Laurent Guy reposted

Military officer who called for Trump’s impeachment held in solitary confinement. "On Friday, [Air Force Maj. Jason] Watson’s lawyer, Christopher Mutimer, told CNN that after nearly two months, Watson is ‘still in solitary confinement 24 hours a day.’" www.commondreams.org/news/jason-w...

commondreams.orgAir Force Major Who Called for Trump’s Impeachment Is in Solitary Confinement 24 Hours a Day | Common DreamsOne law professor told Common Dreams the detention of Maj. Jason Watson was a "blatant case of illegal pretrial punishment."

Laurent Guy reposted

This is an actual Nazi rally.

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com

Trump: "The Republican Party, we believe that Somalia bandits, third-world gangs, and jihadist sympathizers do not belong in Ohio, they do not belong in America. We got to get them the hell out of here." More "De-port! De-port!" chants from the crowd.

Laurent Guy reposted

Replying to @jamellebouie.net

Few journalists have aged as poorly as Brooks , who gives pomposity a bad name but then I’m biased vs men who dump wives to marry worshipful assistants. Has he written anything for Atlantic you want to read? Zzzzzzzzzz

Laurent Guy reposted

Russia is using its rapprochement with Trump as cover for a massive rearming of its ally, Iran. "Russia is providing missiles, echoing a separate assessment in June. The assessment of Iran’s capability runs counter to repeated claims from Trump and his team that eight months of airstrikes have

bloomberg.comIran Protects Capacity to Build Missiles as Trump Pauses StrikesIran has managed to preserve its missile and drone factories despite months of US and Israeli bombing, officials familiar with the matter said, allowing it to replenish its arsenals while President Do...

Laurent Guy reposted

This is as treasonous as it gets

Ron Filipkowski@ronfilipkowski.bsky.social

This is completely outrageous and disgusting. This must immediately be blocked by Congress and Trump should be impeached for this. The US is now funding Putin’s war machine as he murders civilians including children. We are lost as a country.