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Immigration was a winning issue for Trump in 2024, but no issue is so popular that it can't be turned toxic by sufficient evil, overreach, and incompetence. talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/the-b...
markpalko.bsky.social
@markpalko.bsky.social
The job description says data scientist, but still just a simple country statistician at heart. Blogging at observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com Andrew Gelman: "There's something wrong with the world that [Palko's] blog doesn't have a million readers."
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Immigration was a winning issue for Trump in 2024, but no issue is so popular that it can't be turned toxic by sufficient evil, overreach, and incompetence. talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/the-b...
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
For the fabulously wealthy, paying taxes is pretty much optional. They can borrow against their vast wealth, which is mostly an untaxed capital gain, without paying taxes. When they die, the capital gain goes to zero. And loopholes exist to bypass the estate tax too.
“Billionaires who popularized stock-based lending include Larry Ellison and Elon Musk. Both borrow to avoid having to sell shares—which could trigger a taxes and dilute their voting rights—in companies they founded.” www.wsj.com/finance/the-...
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
This is a really hopeful story https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2026/10/26/silicon-valley-courted-trump-now-its-bracing-democratic-congress/
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
To expand on my point about these “markets” I’m not getting into the issues w corruption or damaging impacts of gambling. Their supporters in the political space habitually argue they are superior to polls in their predictive ability. In the simplest sense they’re just not. But to the extent they …
lol reminder that betting markets are extremely accurate measures of conventional wisdom
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
In which the Speaker of the House learns the concept of polling for the first time.
Mike Johnson: "When I'm in these big arenas, I ask for hands -- 'Show me your hand if you've answered a poll in the last six months.' There will be like three hands among 300 people. I'm telling you, these polls are off. All of them."
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
It's important when discussing this to remember that the "zero" may be up for debate but the fact that the payoff is a fraction of where it needs to be is not.
Despite the significant investments ploughed into artificial intelligence it has provided “zero payoff” to corporate America outside of technology, according to Apollo's Chief Economist Torsten Slok. Read more: bloom.bg/3UO2c30 📷: Victor J. Blue/Bloomberg
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
marine corps boards crossing out their instructions "expel trans marines" and writing in "we keep this trans marine" is, frankly, a great example of what it means that a society is more than just its government
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
This week at the blog: observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com/2026/10/the-...
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
Musk said he restricted Starlink in Ukraine- causing fast moving drones to lose connectivity - and that he had every right to do so because of some terms of service or contract that he didn't show us. (He didn't address suddenly doing this with no warning to Kyiv.) www.cnbc.com/2026/10/24/u...
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
🧵🧵🧵 10 ways the planet’s richest person, Elon Musk, has been busy making the world worse. A thread. 1. Buying crooked politicians like Ken Paxton.
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
The Justice Department's last-second letters about noncitizen voting contain people with no history of voting whatsoever, and they're moving so fast they sloppily sent one county the wrong list of names.
NEW, NYT: More action from the U.S. Attorney’s Office in the Middle District of California that is not based in law and runs counter to DOJ policy. DOJ is threatening local elections officials in CA after DOJ did not get what they wanted from their BS lawsuit. www.nytimes.com/2026/10/23/u...
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
This is corruption by #Amazon It’s currying favor It’s a form of bribery It’s part of a RICO scheme But I am very doubtful anyone will investigate. This is also a state level crime. Any state where Amazon does business can investigate.
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
Elon Musk's audacious campaign to keep Alex Gibney's Musk out of theaters and social media shows the fantastic power Musk wields in America today, especially the power to squelch his critics. www.status.news/p/elon-musk-...
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
As expected, the CSS has an excellent deep dive on the roadster "demonstration." @commonsenseskeptic.bsky.social youtu.be/sm2VXGe-jpU?...
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
More than 40 farmers and agricultural industry groups are warning Washington leaders that the Trump administration’s crackdown on immigration is affecting the nation’s food supply, hurting farmers and risking higher grocery prices. www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
Replying to @niedermeyer.online
I haven't confirmed that MUSK is being pulled from theaters, but here's reporting on the deal, including the Tosca Musk link www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie...
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
“C.D.C. has lost about 30% of its staff since last year, including many members of the rabies team, which no longer has the capacity to advise state officials after hours…The agency also temporarily suspended rabies testing this spring, a pause that lasted for months.”
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
It's bleak that Serious News Outlets will tie themselves into knots writing headlines that obscure the horrors of a story while @people.com just waltzes in and calls it like it is.
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
Yes and also this sort of 'uniparty' nonsense feels so hollow deployed in the midst of a national stove-touching. It turns out the difference between a 'milquetoast corporate Democrat' and Trump was really big! President Harris would not be driving trans soldiers out of the military!
youtubers, streamers, podcasters, etc are always on this beat bc they don't know how anything works & know that if they say something like this, their audiences will lap it up now & also 3 years later when they point to total gay commie revolution not happening and go "see? i was right!"
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
Enormous news. A melanoma vaccine, one of the most deadly cancers out there. Science is good and helpful and there should be more of it. www.washingtonpost.com/health/2026/...
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
I think that's probably overstating the case Musk contributed $1 billion to a company $80 billion in debt from the CBS and Warner acquisitions that is run by people who have no idea what they're doing
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
Stocks in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) fell to their lowest level since 1982. @soberlook $USO thedailyshot.com/sub...
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
For years what protected the USPS from antigovernment Republicans screwing with it too much was the fact that Republicans from rural areas would step up and say "Hey, the Postal Service is vital for our constituents." But when forced to choose between Trump and their own people, guess who they pick.
NEW: A ProPublica data analysis shows that delays resulting from USPS’ cost-cutting measures have endangered the validity of ballots mailed in rural areas. Counties that voted for Trump in 2024 have been most affected.
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
“The borrowing let Ellison keep his stock and avoid locking in taxable gains, and highlighted how billionaires often employ a strategy called ‘buy, borrow and die’ to retain their wealth without selling assets.”
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
Replying to @niedermeyer.online
I love the FT, but any article about this potential merger that doesn't mention the only obvious, screaming motivation for the whole thing happening is engaged in journalistic malpractice this is all about speedrunning a nearly trillion dollar pay package 🎁🔗: www.wsj.com/business/see...
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
the combined company would have a negative free cash flow of at least $54b, it would have to divest or ring-fence the Chinese operations that produce 22% of Tesla's global revenue, and the two firms do billions in related-party transactions, but the merger makes sense because ✨buzzwords✨
The world’s richest man is preparing for the 'AI singularity' by trying to fold SpaceX and Tesla into a single company spanning rockets, satellites, internet service, chatbots, social media, robots and cars ft.trib.al/FBrypdo
markpalko.bsky.social reposted
Yeah, this slop-project sucks, but on the upside, the view count suggests that it is boring and being ignored too. Let us hope it remains so.
Scholarly Klaxon: If you haven't heard of universitas Scholarium, be prepared for horror of an initiative that uses the scholarship of dead people to create new academic-slop universitas-scholarium.org/the-project
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