Reforms predicted vote share is dropping almost weekly. From an average 29% in early 2025 they have dropped to below 22%. Most recent polls have them around 20%.
General Election Nowcast - 25/10/26: LAB: 327 (-84) | 28.3% (Maj. of 4) CON: 125 (+4) | 21.1% LDM: 66 (-6) | 9.3% RFM: 52 (+47) | 21.9% SNP: 38 (+29) | 2.7% PLC: 8 (+4) | 1.0% GRN: 7 (+3) | 8.9% RES: 1 (+1) | 3.7% Oth: 7 (+2) | 2.9% electionmaps.uk/nowcast