Mzbitca

Not sure what’s up with some of these polls with 10 pt differences between RV and LV samples. Implausible in size generally and also tend to point in the wrong direction. Single samples can be weird when you’re weighting by 12 variables but this is definitely adding uncertainty

This is what I meant when I said in 2024 that when I looked at the incoming administration, all I could see was rape. It’s the heinous act itself, yes, but also a mentality, as deftly explained here:

CBS deleted this post and reposted it admitting that their original one was misleading. And the misleading post from CBS was intentionally misleading, not an innocent mistake. CBS continues to lose credibility.

You can do the same thing, buying a house and borrowing against it—ha ha, just kidding, normal people get taxed annually on their wealth via property taxes, the "you can't tax wealth, the economy will collapse!" rule applies solely to the super-rich.

Latino early voting is up 2-3 times over 2022 depending on the state. We haven’t seen any ICE enforcement activity at or near early voting locations

The Trump administration asked Washington state to set aside more than 400 ballots from individuals it claims may not be eligible to vote, following a similar request in California.

New in PN: Living in the long, stupid shadow of the Big Lie "Elections where Trump — or any other Republican — wins are fine, but elections where Republicans lose are corrupt. The only solution, of course, is to let the DOJ intervene both before and after any elections that Trump has fixated on."

Right on time www.washingtonsun.com/campaigns/de...

Now that you've seen years of "AI exec says within 5 years everyone will be using AI" you're ready for the next week of "political operative says constituency they specialize in is at risk of not turning out"

“If the person is a U.S. citizen or otherwise lawfully in the United States, that individual will be free to go after the brief encounter.” Justice Brett Kavanaugh www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24p...

“Every unhappy nation is unique. But the mood overlap between countries such as Hungary and Serbia, both of which have recently thrown out rightwing populists in corruption-dominated elections, and today’s America is striking.” My column as.ft.com/r/c8ced69e-f...

Ignoring the Saddam dig to focus on the Cheesecake Factory part is again a choice .

In fact I will say the Earnest and Pious Charismatic Ethnic Minority political figure (AOC, Mamdani, El-Sayed) has been a pretty good bet for the American left so far, whereas the Disaffected Gruff White Guy Showcasing True Masculinity (Fetterman, Platner) has been a worse bet. Just an observation.

Since January, ICE has detained and sought to deport a man who has insisted he was born to a prominent family in Jamaica. But his lawyers say he's a U.S. citizen who has delusions as a result of mental illness.

Is it because of Trump's visceral loathing of Ilhan Omar and willingness to just let his racism fly? AES? The Iran war? I know it's always been simmering under the surface but what's brought on this latest paroxysm of Islamophobia?

I've already seen some effort to bury this as "there's not a lot new here." As if, "What's one more rape victim?" is sound editorial judgment. Republicans kept the Benghazi story going for years on nothing new, but that didn't stop to press from covering every nothing burger they served up.

I think we underestimate the appeal of antigambling politics because every problem gambler is surrounded by 3-10 people who are absolutely sick of their shit.

Also: this behavior should be seen as political weakness. Democrats constantly allow the GOP to set the tone on issues, and it just makes them look fucking pathetic. This isn't a movement voters are demanding, it's one the GOP have been attempting to manufacture.

It’s just so appalling and enraging how casual and commonplace this has become. I’m out of words.

I think the country is full of people like this, decent people who behave decently and teach others to do the same; and that these people look at participants in the regime, who flaunt their indecency, the way Kurt Russell looked at the Thing.

Who do I give to to get this in front of as many Michigan voters as possible?

The NYT story does not even include the word rape. Not once.

Walking the line outside the Trump rally in Corinth, I was reminded that more unites us than divides us here in Mississippi. I heard from folks who want to get foreign money out of our elections, put an end to flock cameras, keep our border secure, and make sure our veterans are taken care of.

Turning Point Action, once an advocate of prosecuting anyone who does this sort of “ballot harvesting,” now promotes its trained “ballot chasers” bringing multiple ballots to collection boxes. I knew they were doing this, it’s just funny to see their guy (Tyler Bowyer) RTing these.

The only reason I can think of for this news not being absolutely everywhere is that large media orgs don’t want to be seen as putting their thumbs on the scales a week before election day. And that’s cowardly as shit.

anyone ever notice how republicans don't run on half the evil shit that they do? ever notice how that works?

i don't think anyone should run explicitly on banning online gambling but i do think that a democratic-led government should just quietly take steps to undermine the industry and create an inhospitable regulatory environment

Politico wrote up Zohran playing basketball with the uncovering-a-big-scandal tone the same day the NYTimes wrote up "credible allegation that The President of the United States raped a woman" as a political strategy story. Broken media in a nutshell

I think the lesson from Lula is not never talk about the opposition; it's articulate a positive vision that's basically, We Can Just Do Things. That's why Mamdani-ism is so popular - voters have an intrinsic sense that their electeds have agency they're not using

why would u ever take the Americans even marginally seriously

Jon Ossoff’s closing argument went in for the kill.

Also, I'd love to know how two different stories -- each written by three reporters, with no overlap in the authors -- managed to find Jolene Riessen and make her the stand-in for apolitical Iowa farmers.

I don't know that there is a definitive line to cross that makes you say, "I live in a police state now" but when masked gunmen can routinely brutalize the public, citizen or immigrant alike, with impunity, you have reached that point.

Kind of funny, in an Ancient Greek Hell kind of way, that this guy handed Trump the presidency in 2016, and as a reward Trump is kicking him in the teeth forever. www.nbcnews.com/politics/jus...

A newly filed court document reveals extensive communications between Kennedy Center management and President Trump’s advisers, including presidential aide Natalie Harp, around pivotal court rulings and board votes over the institution’s future.

It's really damning. The accusations are numerous and well-supported. But I was really struck by the descriptions of Trump's behavior -- the name dropping, strong-arming, and attempts to buy off silence. His gross rivalry with Epstein. It's all so familiar. It's shit he's been doing his entire life.

The vile attacks on Amy Acton need to be seen in the context of a party that *needs* people to believe women fabricating sexual assaults is common as rainwater. Because it’s pretty much the only way to evade the conclusion that the president is a rapist.

absolutely fascinating to see how they will bend over backwards for some dudes careers and than see how eager they are to throw some people (like Caleb) to the side the first chance they think they can get

Lina Khan on Mamdani: "One thing we saw the mayor be very attentive to is all sorts of daily nickel and diming -- taking on junk fees, subscription traps. Those can seem very micro and targeted, but in the aggregate I see those as really designed to take on unfair methods of competition."

the biggest wrench in the Trump will steal the midterms is that he'll still be president and will be more likely to view this as a betrayal by his own voters than anything. Especially is the narrative that Trump voters abandoned him. Also he just won't work that hard for someone that's not him

This is true even in matters as seemingly mundane as education policy. A new Chilean government Minister of Ed networks with Milei in Argentina who reaches out to Sir Nick Gibb in England who travels with Carl Hendrick to Austin to visit Alpha School. Ask me how I know. (Don’t, actually, busy)

The reason people keep turning on incumbents is because voters have been asking for a system that doesn't suck shit forever, so when a Dem org just so happens to release a bunch of info on our rapist president, you can't help but notice they waited until a week before the midterms.

… Also, not to be too nerdy and pedantic, but in the interview Bessent said that Obama’s library looks like “Darth Vader’s tomb,” when obviously Vader’s body was burned at the end of ROTJ, and the proper comparison is with Darth Vader’s Fortress on Mustafar.