Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘
@twicefire.bsky.social
My themes: Surviving in the 21st century. Regenerative culture. Bioregionalism. Dance, mainly west coast swing. Building Hylo.com (software dev) Former geo-int analyst. Former youth rites of passage facilitator. Melbourne 🇦🇺 Writings at: twicefire.com
586 followers361 following2K posts
Inshallah it will bring meta down
I want to be explicit that Mark Zuckerberg, on the softest of softball podcasts, admitted he invested all this capex without really knowing whether any of it would work, shortly after his tech guy said that he had been repeatedly told “hey this better fucking work” by the CFO at an offsite
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
I think it’s important for anyone who (completely understandably) checked out on AI the second the crypto/nft/metaverse/snake oil chuds started pushing it to realize that, in at least the domain of software development, we are very much living in a scenario where the snake oil actually works
personally think if the line is going to be “no gen ai in anything” then the you might have to consider divesting from AAA games entirely because this is just what the industry is now, whether they admit it so publicly or not
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Yeesh. 👀 (Bloomberg) - The most likely long-term outcome of the AI boom will be massive capital destruction in the US, with market share going to cheaper open-source Chinese models, according to Jefferies Financial Group Inc. @bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
God I can't wait to share this in internet debates with people that refuse to read
New working paper: the Norwegian wealth tax was a huge success. The "exodus" of wealthy people never happened (less than 100 individuals left). Tax revenue increased by 71.5%. No changes in business activity or investment. www.nber.org/papers/w35854
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
If I went to Switzerland and won a Swiss watch precision contest, I would literally never talk about anything else
I went to Geneva a few weeks ago and spoke on a panel about the nature of time for a Geneva Watch Days event. While I was there, on a lark, I entered a competition to most precisely calibrate a Swiss watch. And today I found out that I won! 😃 www.instagram.com/reel/Dd6hUTB...
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Replying to @masnick.com
Certain kinds of smart people tend to have a "sexy apocalypse" problem when it comes to thinking about risk. E.g. skynet turning everyone in paperclips, while bad, is also *kind of cool and fun* at the same time. Where the reality is that most actual disasters are both stupid and disappointing.
Ok, I've read about as much of this as I can be bothered too and... By this poster's standards, there would be umpteen numbers of wacko communities in the Bay Area alone that would count as sex cults. I get it dude; they are a bunch of weirdos, and now have this prominence.
I'm back, I missed you all. Since this is an important subject I know too much about, here's a 🧵 explaining that AI Safety Is Mostly A Sex Cult. I don't think these people should make policy. (1/?) (alternative title: Time For Some Cult Theory)
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
you don’t have to have the conversation on their terms and in fact you shouldn’t have the conversation on their terms more democrats should follow this playbook instead of existing in a constant defensive crouch
Abdul El-Sayed: "Weijia, with all due respect, this is the third time you've asked about a Twitch streamer ... their whole game is to make us fight culture wars so that we don't pay attention to the fact the president has made $2.2 billion ... "
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
genuinely, if you're not re-evaluating your position on AI at least once every 1-2 months and re-evaluating how it performs for the types of tasks important to you, then you are not actually challenging your priors. i know this is crazy! but thats how fast things are moving right now.
one thing i will say is that things are changing fast enough that if your priors are more than a month old, you need to challenge them again! astra for example is a very significant step forward for a lot of people's tasks.
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Genuinely abundant, cheap, accessible energy has vastly more liberatory potential than AI, for vastly more people -- especially more poor people. Which, I guess, is your answer.
Have you seen any reporting on how solar power generation in the USA is 5 times higher than it was in 2020 in mainstream outlets? If not, why do you think this is not being widely covered the same way other large technological changes are?
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
🥹🥹🥹🥹🥹🥹🥹
After intensive discussion I have concluded that it is necessary to build an entire Potemkin internet exactly as it appeared in 2005. You get Wikipedia, forums, news sites, whatever, but no short form video, social media, or AI. When you graduate college you get the password to the real Internet.
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted
Twicefire <> GabbyMcNabb 🦘 reposted