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kipcat.bsky.social
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At one point I was explaining a mortgage to my daughter, and she asked when we'd get access to the parts of the house the bank owned.
Modern homes are too eager to explain themselves immediately. It dislikes that. A proper house should reveal itself in stages. First you notice the woodwork. Then the oddities. Then the curious alcove. Then six months later someone says, “Oh, that? That door goes to the map room.”
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NEW: In late 2024, FBI investigators had enough evidence to launch a sweeping bribery probe that could ensnare top lawmakers, including Sen. Susan Collins. Then Trump was reelected and eviscerated the FBI and DOJ teams handling public corruption probes.
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From my personal experience people don't want to pay you to tell them they can't do anything about, eg, the very likely anti-Dem. midterm backlash in 2030 (or, gulp, 34). But it's true. So consultants make up stuff like "Kamala Harris would have won if she ran anti-trans ads"
a lightbulb went on for me when @gelliottmorris.com (I think) pointed out that the problem for consultants with broad structural explanations of electoral outcomes is that you can’t control those factors so there’s not much for a consultant to do
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Replying to @johnlk.bsky.social
My principal used to encourage us(verbally, never in writing) to sit the best performing students, especially girls, next to the worst behaving students who should not be mainstreamed, because it would reign in their behavior(it never did) and all it did was turn good students into bad ones
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China is a very real place and you have to engage with it as a real place and not the answer to all of your country’s problems so you don’t say stuff like this. I assure you that you would NOT like it if China invaded the US.
Honestly if China was invading that would great. The best railway in the world, Healthcare is affordable, Housing that gets built, 9 of the 10 best Universities in the world, the fastest advancing country... And so much more. While the West decays under billionaires GREED.
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Correct. The Supreme Court upholding birthright citizenship is the easiest of layups possible.
Tomorrow at SCOTUS is gonna be like: a. Trans athletes get screwed b. Another campaign finance law is gutted c. Birthright citizenship is upheld ... and we're all supposed to focus on (c) and forget about all the atrocious decisions that preceded it. Let's not, please!
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Warsh was far more hostile to communications and expectations than I, well, expected. He brought up arguments debated in the 1990s through mid-00s; they are so taken for granted in academic macroeconomics his assault might blindside the consensus. 1/2 newsletter.mikekonczal.com/p/kevin-wars...
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In many ways, this is the actual point of "The End of History and the Last Man," one of many academic texts cursed by a popularity that came from wild misunderstandings and misreadings. But it is this basic idea, cited by the Thorne here, that has been profoundly vindicated.
"They will struggle for the sake of struggle. They will struggle, in other words, out of a certain boredom: for they cannot imagine living in a world without struggle." — Francis Fukuyama
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IMO the biggest priorities would have to be 1. Parliamentary democracy with a no confidence motion 2. Some type of PR electoral system (party list within states?) 3. Curbs on judicial review 4. Hard donation limits/public financing of campaigns I'd be interested in other political scientists' takes
OK just because I'm interested in your honest, not shitpost, thoughts on this: if you could write a new US Constitution, what would you put in it?
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There is a whole system in place to ensure that Supreme Court Justices live long and happy lives, with free vacations, extraordinary perks, lucrative and important jobs for their spouses, and now their kids.
Samuel Alito’s son has been working as an attorney with the Treasury’s office of the general counsel for months even as the Supreme Court takes up cases involving the department. https://www.notus.org/us-news/samuel-philip-alito-trump-treasury-department
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This is still a preferable bar environment to most suburban bars which are packed with racist and sexist "man" children
i was visiting a neighborhood bar in boston when a roving gang of elite college professors strode in acting like they owned the place. they saw me ordering a domestic lager and shouted "this motherfucker's not chasing novel gustatory experiences!" and started beating me with heavy wooden rulers
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And it wouldn't even lead to lower prices at the pump! Here's the legendary @pkrugman.bsky.social writing in 2000.
The White House floating a suspension of the national gas tax is the first real admission from the Trump admin of how much worse things are going to get.
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Woof. I've been critical of this Urban Institute study since it first dropped, but it turns out that the methodological errors were even more serious than I understood. econjwatch.org/file_downloa...
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As my colleague David Rosnick puts it: the Roberts Court is just calling the balls and strikes. The problem is that they do it before the pitch is thrown.
Anyone remember the Purcell doctrine, saying courts shouldn't change electoral districts too close to the election because it might cause confusion? Remember how SCOTUS applied it six months ago to say it was already too late to invalidate the Texas districts? Funny how that didn't happen in Callais
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Lunch break thought: it remains profoundly sad how much of the economy has been turned over to scams that pretend to be gambling which pretends to be an investment. Do you want to gamble your money with odds that are actually good? Index. Funds. But I guess that's not masculinity-affirming enough.
Trump’s meme coin is a scam to enrich insiders. A couple dozen “whales” made nearly $2 billion soon after launch in early 2025. Then, the coin crashed and lost over $4 billion for over 2 million retail investors—including many everyday Americans. My @morningjoe-msnow.bsky.social Chart.