It's hard to avoid the conclusion that Bluesky has been a net negative for US politics. They corralled everyone on the left into a little glass fishbowl where they shout at one another & everyone else ignores them. Meanwhile, all the pols & institutions stayed on X & are being dragged farther right.
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This has left us in what is, IMO, a shitty equilibrium, something like the worst of both worlds. Enough libs (& only libs) left that Bsky basically became a lib echo chamber. (People are trying to deny this, but, c'mon.) But enough people stayed that prominent people can still convince themselves...
In other words, the exodus wasn't quite big enough to a) drain X of its malign power, or b) make Bsky big & varied enough to attract a wider array of people (esp. normies) & give it serious juice of its own. The equilibrium we've settled into is worse, IMO, than pre-Musk Twitter. Worse for everyone!
My point is just that the current equilibrium sucks. Neither X nor Bsky is as varied or fun as pre-Musk Twitter. Libs leaving X made X worse but did not make Bsky great. Elite dipshits are still getting dragged right & Bsky doesn't have the juice to counteract it. What to do about it? I don't know!
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I just don't think a parallel world in which we all stayed on Twitter would've been better for US politics. This at least gives some in the left coalition an opportunity to spread their views with like-minded folks who might've never found each other. It's how I found volts.wtf (among others)
I think we should suggest the below to well-meaning public figures at every opportunity. bsky.app/profile/mtsw...
i hope you and your social media team at least consider delay-posting to vichy-twitter (posting there only an hour after you post on other platforms - if they want to see potentially news-making statements immediately they then need to leave X)
Appreciate the second go. A big issue (not your fault) is that there ARE a lot of people (some I think who just miss being the center of the universe on Twitter) who have blamed people on the left (many from vulnerable populations) for opting for a platform that doesn't promote violence against them
I think it’s a good set of observations on the dynamic. And yes it makes sense. Maybe the thing to do here then (I need to do this myself and thank you for spawning the thought) is to think of BlueSky as a place less to work out what we on the left think but the various ways in which we can work. 1/
The nice thing about an enclave is it is a place to recharge and strategize. Not soaking at a Nazi bar is healthy. Sniping at each other is not. Sharing “hey isn’t it nice when” things like experiencing organic culture in a city or “hey I tried this thing at a local meeting and it went sideways.” 2/
We should get off Bluesky and get in their faces. They're getting in our every day, but the National Mall remains completely empty of protesters. The Hungarians were more effective than we are. Is no one embarrassed by that? www.earthcam.com/usa/dc/washi...
@volts.wtf It seems that you want something like a pre-Musk Twitter where everyone who is anyone is on the platform. We are never going to have that again, and the fact that we once had it made journalists and political types lazy, confusing covering Twitter to covering the world.
@volts.wtf The real problem was that people surrendered control of their own communication to a wealthy third party. If writers and politicians could self-host, and syndicate their output to all of the various outlets, they, and not people like Musk, Zuckerberg, or the BlueSky owners would be […]
@volts.wtf I am following you from the Fediverse, but there's also RSS, or there was. We could work to rebuild that world. We could figure out how to make it easier for nontechnical folk to take back control.
Thanks for the clarification. I left X because it became a well of poison and a sounding board for its Nazi owner to pollute members minds. I often think back to David Bowie's interview with Jeremy Paxman in 1999, about where the internet will go. www.youtube.com/shorts/6M9ZQ...
Have you ever heard of the elite overproduction hypothesis? Sure Turchin is disliked by historians (just ask @bretdevereaux.bsky.social or @spencermcdaniel.bsky.social ) - but I don't think the idea THAT fringe. (It probably has more mainstream recognition than "vibecession", come to think of it. 🔽)
Correct, and this applies to a variety of other belle dames with academic perches, such as Peter Turchin, whose 'cliodynamics' 'journal' is stacked with his mates and fellow travellers and just hits publish on any old slop he writes without objection.
The point is that IF it is true, then the "elite dipshits" are now more replaceable (perhaps one might even say "disposable") then they have been in a VERY long time. After all, "dragged right" is not just aesthetics - they are literally embracing bad ideas that are DEMONSTRABLY failing as we speak.
Lest we forget, Xitter REALLY wanted Orban to stay, and it also wanted Pollievre, Dutton and some other jerks I can't be bothered to recall rn to win. They ate shit. This suggests the mainstream media disparity is more relevant to the recent Reform results than Xitter.
I.e. a great example of where that leads right here. 🔽 And as I note above - the most high-profile examples we have to date do NOT appear to show much electoral benefit to the right post-Bluesky; so ironically, Stancil, for one, appears to be relying entirely on vibes when he agrees with your point.
Like, I think it would be great if anyone could quantify how the exodus to Bluesky has weakened anything that matters in concrete terms. Maybe we ARE going to see a chart like that - but for now, I'll pro-offer an alternate theory; echo chambers might just be where successful movements are forged.
I'll allow 2013's Harold Meyerson to explain for me. Read this with today's eyes. To no surprise of anybody familiar with Leninism (Bannon, for one) "Fewer, better..." WORKS. You don't assemble a "big tent" that wins by "finding common ground" - that's loser shit. web.archive.org/web/20131017...