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It's hard to avoid the conclusion that Bluesky has been a net negative for US politics. They corralled everyone on the left into a little glass fishbowl where they shout at one another & everyone else ignores them. Meanwhile, all the pols & institutions stayed on X & are being dragged farther right.

All right, well, it seems I did not communicate my point very effectively! I doubt anyone involved in this goofy pile-on cares what I really think, but, just for the sake of posterity, let me clarify a few points.

I did not say, and do not think: 1) That X is "better" than Bsky. 2) That anyone should feel the slightest obligation to return to X, or indeed to engage with any social media in any way other than whatever makes them happy. 3) That it is Bsky's "fault" that X sucks or that people left it.

What happened was, Musk bought X & started pushing it in a nazi direction. This prompted a semi-mass exodus (including me). But the exodus basically petered out. To my dismay -- & to their eternal discredit -- lots & lots of prominent people, journos, institutions, experts, brands, etc. stayed.

This has left us in what is, IMO, a shitty equilibrium, something like the worst of both worlds. Enough libs (& only libs) left that Bsky basically became a lib echo chamber. (People are trying to deny this, but, c'mon.) But enough people stayed that prominent people can still convince themselves...

...that it's "the public square." So prominent people are continuing to have their brains cooked. Lots of mainstream journos are being dragged right in ways that are obvious from the outside, if not clear to them. X's malign effect on the body politic is maybe *moderately* reduced, but still awful.

In other words, the exodus wasn't quite big enough to a) drain X of its malign power, or b) make Bsky big & varied enough to attract a wider array of people (esp. normies) & give it serious juice of its own. The equilibrium we've settled into is worse, IMO, than pre-Musk Twitter. Worse for everyone!

This obviously not Bsky's *fault* or the fault of anyone on it. (This obsession with how to apportion blame is one of the weirder aspects of this particular pile-on.) And obviously it's not going to help anything for people to go back to X! It's toxic. More people should leave it!

My point is just that the current equilibrium sucks. Neither X nor Bsky is as varied or fun as pre-Musk Twitter. Libs leaving X made X worse but did not make Bsky great. Elite dipshits are still getting dragged right & Bsky doesn't have the juice to counteract it. What to do about it? I don't know!

21 reposts379 likes

If Bluesky didn't exist, do you think anything would be better? Seems to me we'd be in roughly the same place, maybe slightly worse. Some users who moved to Bluesky would still be on X. Some would be on other platforms or no platform. Information shared here, good & bad, would be shared less.

I was 'dragged right' and I sure am not 'elite'. Lol I'm just starting to see the common sense from the 'right' and way too much hate from the left. Especially Bluesky. It's become a hate site. Why do we need political parties anyways? It just keeps us divided. I like X far better than this site.

I'm under no illusions that these follow-on clarifications are going to do anything to stem the pile-on. They never do. It'll wear itself out eventually like they all do. But I thought maybe one or two of you out there might be curious about what I was actually trying to say. Anyway, carry on!

Interesting. I don't agree with what you are saying but I do understand some of your view. The issue is bigger than Twitter or Bluesky, it is our society, Twitter/Bluesky are just a reflection of that.

My only real grievance with the original post was that you claimed it "has been a net negative for US politics" and I'm not exactly sure that's true. I think it's been a net positive for the independent media ecosystem. I've subscribed and found way more sources here than I would've on Twitter.

I just don't think a parallel world in which we all stayed on Twitter would've been better for US politics. This at least gives some in the left coalition an opportunity to spread their views with like-minded folks who might've never found each other. It's how I found volts.wtf (among others)

volts.wtfVolts | David Roberts | SubstackA newsletter, podcast, & community focused on the technology, politics, and policy of decarbonization. In your inbox once or twice a week. Click to read Volts, a Substack publication with tens of thou...

A parallel world in which Biden and top Ds weren't idiots and cowards and blocked a post J6 takeover of Twitter by a Nazi MAGAt absolutely would have been better (and this was clear at the time as well).

Adding (and then I'm really done): what I'd really like to see is for Bluesky to grow enough to develop enough gravity to draw attention away from X. But it's not growing, it's shrinking. I don't know what to do about it or how to reverse it, but that is the situation.

Well, we could start by making sure that this site's management and moderation didn't actively hate a large chunk of the userbase. Some people are too sensitive about users making fun of them over their likes (I can't say who because I don't want to get banned. But you know exactly who I mean.)

Well put thread. I came here bc of far right shit being pushed/being worse reddit. I also think the libbing out here is annoying. Both sites are 100% worse than pre-Musk. I miss text-based apps like this vs video/images (tiktok/insta) which I spend more time on and aren't as good as old twt was

Should also emphasize that old twt made it easy to see your circle of friends' rt/likes, and they moved away from that to pushing algorithmic posts. It's sad that it's so hard to curate seeing only what your friends share on any social media platform now. It all has to be dm'd directly

Mainstream media outlets, sports, celebrities and our federal elected officials are still frogs in the hot water quickly being boiled. Not bsky's fault but it is not the solution either. Not sure there is one.

It seems like this boils down to two well-accepted points: it would be better if: 1. Musk didn't but twitter and make it a Nazi bar, and 2. More people left the Nazi bar. I think folks are confused because those are simple, shared points, and so folks think you're trying to say something else.

I might even find that a slight source of optimism were I not certain, based on the experience of the last 10 years, that what comes next will somehow be even worse.

I agree with+/-98% of your points, but I get stuck on the idea that bsky is a net negative. Is the overall situation worse than pre-Musk Twitter? Almost certainly yes. But is it worse than everyone who left still being on Twitter getting our brains cooked? I'd argue no. And that's the alternative.

The best solution is Musk never buys Twitter. The next best is everyone leaves. Alas, we're stuck with Elon bought it and lots of people refuse to grasp the problem therein. But at least fewer people are getting their brains cooked because bsky exists. I see net positive in that.

I think one misconception that stems out of the FOMO and also the now rather right-tilted media is the suspicion that Bluesky is extremely left wing. I think it may be more in line with the median voter than many suppose.

I think we should suggest the below to well-meaning public figures at every opportunity. bsky.app/profile/mtsw...

mtsw@mtsw.bsky.social

i hope you and your social media team at least consider delay-posting to vichy-twitter (posting there only an hour after you post on other platforms - if they want to see potentially news-making statements immediately they then need to leave X)

“This party sucks” “then leave” “uuuh, no, uhhh, actually this party is great and I don’t want to leave, let me talk endlessly about it” “you have exactly one second to produce a picture of your cat, or we’re ignoring you. You knew what this was”

I think if your original post was a combo of this one and 2nd post above it, it would have had better, constructive response. Like “I fear Bsky has settled into a lib echo-chamber, how do we get more ppl over to here, diversify the discourse, while still keeping the openness and non-toxicity?”

alot of this is directly the fault of large accounts that came here, cry about twitter and the right, but remain active on twitter and don't try to bring their audiences here. people that SHOULD know better based on the leftward slant of their posts, but somehow don't.

I would also add those with huge accounts that did leave, but still didn't try to bring their followers with them. as in, didn't post links or make tweets directing people over. it could have helped alot.

What’s missing is the counter-factual. If, when Twitter turned into a Nazi bar, Bluesky did not exist, should everyone have stayed on Twitter? Should they have quit social media? And how would those be better options?

All social media is terrible, Bluesky included. But it does allow me to embed a newsfeed in my websites, which is invaluable — it's an extra stream of content for my readers. Xitter used to allow you to do that. Maybe it still does if you pay Musk.

We understood what you were saying, we just didn’t agree. So in response you made ten more posts “mansplaining” how we didn’t know what we were talking about.

non-bluesky-people (ground pounders?) like a lot of non-political content (esp. video shorts) that we don’t really offer. To grow, we need to make them want to come here. Steps: 1) Get a makeover 2) Make Low Brow Videos 3) Cross post to their sites with BSKY watermarked or at least mentioned.

I think that you’ve created a false dichotomy that’s led you to conclude “Bluesky has been a net negative for US politics.” The existence of Bluesky hasn’t made X worse. It was going to become a Nazi bar no matter what. People were going to get their brains pickled there no matter what.

Yeah I think that initial phrasing led people to conclude that David was apportioning blame to Bluesky, when his clarification shows what he meant was "things are worse now having Bluesky and X than pre-Musk Twitter", which sounds correct but also a bit tautological.

He seems to mistakenly believe that in the absence of Bluesky, more decent people would’ve stayed on X and it wouldn‘t have become so awful. That is of course highly unlikely. Decent people don’t want to hang out at a Nazi bar. And Musk was always going to turn it into a Nazi bar.

Bluesky was in the works before Musk bought Twitter, of course, but it would not be the Bluesky that exists today without the exodus, and the exodus doesn't happen without Musk taking over Twitter.

These are not “clarifications,” though. This is a completely different point. It might help if you didn’t smugly suggest that the pile-on was unfair and instead admitted that you didn’t say what you meant to say?

More than that, he's really illustrating your point! Absolutely nothing wrong with your original post, absolutely loads wrong with the people acting like twats about it.

You said “bluesky is a net negative” and your clarification describes a bunch of things that are not Bluesky. It’s fine that you made a mistake, but you absolutely did!

Yeah, bsky is my small little happy place where I can attack the people I disagree with on my side, without having to fear I discredit them to our common opposites. It‘s almost talking to them in private 😂

I will agree with you on this - we, all here on Bluesky, have failed to organize better I am not skilled and have never organized anything and we need someone prominent to organize Since I have been here - I have not seen anyone step forward

Hey man, being late to the thread gave me a chance to read the whole thing. You've made some good points which are supported by my own experience. Carry on mate.

I think I agree with your analysis BUT would like to know if you could provide some examples of “elites and journos” who stayed on Twitter and didn’t come here, being dragged to the right

I'm always interested in what smart people have to say.. I've thought a lot about this also & it was hard for me to give up on twitter, but we have to. I deleted my X account a long time ago & don't miss it a bit

Big difference on X with almost 80K followers I was throttled into oblivion Here at least I can be seen What good is a site that only allows views that match owner

Like many tweets that end up at the center of one of these maelstroms, it was casually & carelessly tossed off, without a lot of thought or effort to be clear & precise. If I had known!

Appreciate the second go. A big issue (not your fault) is that there ARE a lot of people (some I think who just miss being the center of the universe on Twitter) who have blamed people on the left (many from vulnerable populations) for opting for a platform that doesn't promote violence against them

Bsky is the end result of the Right-wing takeover of the mainstream media. They're the ones that pushed everyone away. They destroyed 60 Minutes, CBS, WaPost. What did you expect? Late Night talk shows, The View are under attack. Anyone can join Bsky. We're pro Democracy. They're not.

Erik Robson@erikrobson.net

What if this: What if push-microblogging sites don't exist on a left/right axis at all. What if the real axis is: A--------B A side is "I want to fight online" B side is "I want to interact without a lot of friction" A side is Twitter. B side is Bsky, Truth Social, etc.

You think there's no friction here? Have you ever tried saying, for instance, that economic indicators do not justify the current level of economic pessimism? Or that AI might be a more complicated subject than simple good v. evil? Or anything that violates current left orthodoxy?

Yes. Absolutely. Not a single person told me to go back to econ 101, called me a trump supporter, or suggested that I was a Nazi. I cannot say the same about x or Reddit.

Well said. It's a shitty situation, but why are we liberals in the first place? Because liberalism works. Economic and political liberalism is the force that developed the modern world. Trump's screwing up the economy will lead people to rediscover liberalism, and Bluesky.

A stunningly bad take, followed by a stubborn unwillingness to acknowledge the mistake, followed by a wordy but unpersuasive attempt to plaster over the damage. Not your best day on the internet, David.

I think it’s a good set of observations on the dynamic. And yes it makes sense. Maybe the thing to do here then (I need to do this myself and thank you for spawning the thought) is to think of BlueSky as a place less to work out what we on the left think but the various ways in which we can work. 1/

The nice thing about an enclave is it is a place to recharge and strategize. Not soaking at a Nazi bar is healthy. Sniping at each other is not. Sharing “hey isn’t it nice when” things like experiencing organic culture in a city or “hey I tried this thing at a local meeting and it went sideways.” 2/

I think you have a valid criticism. But I think a lot of people may not want to have the fights that Twitter has evolved into. It is just a toxic environment. While I enjoy Bluesky, I think threads is most likely the closest thing left to old Twitter. Bluesky is a echo chamber.

David, nobody here cares what your actual thoughts are. They want to prse each individual word in the OP to find some avenue for a Gotcha. These are not introspective people, and your message of "we can be better" will never, ever be well received because these ppl don't believe in agency

I dunno. If I post something that requires mind-reading to unlock its context, maybe it's a little my fault when people aren't telepathic. Most of communication is shared context. Personally, I think it's a net positive that people attacked by the right have a place to gather and be attacked less.

I think it’s actually a bit revealing. Left voices have always been underweighted by those with varied kinds of power. Present arrangement has exposed and exacerbated a long-existent trend.

If I understand you correctly, you're saying that Bluesky has become an echo chamber of the hard left, the kind of people believe everybody to the right of Bernie is a goose-stepping book-burner, as much as X has become one of the hard right. I agree. What's the next step?

@volts.wtf It seems that you want something like a pre-Musk Twitter where everyone who is anyone is on the platform. We are never going to have that again, and the fact that we once had it made journalists and political types lazy, confusing covering Twitter to covering the world.

the answer is "break X" through social engineering or some form of sabotage people will leave it, just like they have left other platforms, if the UX sucks hard enough, or if they're successfully driven off

Have you ever heard of the elite overproduction hypothesis? Sure Turchin is disliked by historians (just ask @bretdevereaux.bsky.social or @spencermcdaniel.bsky.social ) - but I don't think the idea THAT fringe. (It probably has more mainstream recognition than "vibecession", come to think of it. 🔽)

niskanencenter.orgAre we overproducing elites and instability? - Niskanen CenterHigh levels of political violence and low levels of institutional support suggest we are in the midst of an age of discord. What can we learn from the cycles of history about political disintegration ...
Dr Dave Hitchcock@davehitchcock.bsky.social

Correct, and this applies to a variety of other belle dames with academic perches, such as Peter Turchin, whose 'cliodynamics' 'journal' is stacked with his mates and fellow travellers and just hits publish on any old slop he writes without objection.

The point is that IF it is true, then the "elite dipshits" are now more replaceable (perhaps one might even say "disposable") then they have been in a VERY long time. After all, "dragged right" is not just aesthetics - they are literally embracing bad ideas that are DEMONSTRABLY failing as we speak.

YARDCG@yardcg.bsky.social

Lest we forget, Xitter REALLY wanted Orban to stay, and it also wanted Pollievre, Dutton and some other jerks I can't be bothered to recall rn to win. They ate shit. This suggests the mainstream media disparity is more relevant to the recent Reform results than Xitter.

I.e. a great example of where that leads right here. 🔽 And as I note above - the most high-profile examples we have to date do NOT appear to show much electoral benefit to the right post-Bluesky; so ironically, Stancil, for one, appears to be relying entirely on vibes when he agrees with your point.

This post is unavailable.

Like, I think it would be great if anyone could quantify how the exodus to Bluesky has weakened anything that matters in concrete terms. Maybe we ARE going to see a chart like that - but for now, I'll pro-offer an alternate theory; echo chambers might just be where successful movements are forged.

YARDCG@yardcg.bsky.social

I'll allow 2013's Harold Meyerson to explain for me. Read this with today's eyes. To no surprise of anybody familiar with Leninism (Bannon, for one) "Fewer, better..." WORKS. You don't assemble a "big tent" that wins by "finding common ground" - that's loser shit. web.archive.org/web/20131017...

Nothing will be as fun or useful as pre-Musk twitter if the people who run this shitshow of a world can keep that from happening. Things like citizen journalists reporting from events like Ferguson, the people power it demonstrated, scared those people to their core. Musk bought X to stop all that

Perhaps the phenomenon is wider, and there's no such thing as an equilibrium. On Facebook, Instagram and even X most people tend to simply scroll with no purpose, between ads, fake posts that are ads and fascist statements. When I re-open X I'm suggested to follow Tommy Robinson. 01/02

Bluesky is the place to be for intellectuals and academics who like to share their stuff and, above all, know about the thoughts of their peers. Is it as good as the "old Twitter"? No, but because the world has changed too much. Will it bring back "equilibrium"? Absolutely not. 02/02

We just saw how one big social media plattform can be misued very easily. In the wake of X constructing a nazi bubble, several alternatives emerged where people switched to. Why is this necessarily a bad thing?

It's also always "lib bubble". Never conservative bubble, even tho those are the biggest around. Eliminating opposition and intolerance of other wolrd views is kinda their thing No one begs people on Truth Social to not scare the libs away.

Yes, but I don't believe they're getting "dragged right" by lack of the left's presence. They have chosen sides, and would have gone right anyways and/or were alright right and this has exposed them.

Well let's put it this way which I hope you'll consider germane; one of the many topics I USED to engage X users on was renewable energy, & my answer to their arguments about how 'non-renewable' the tech currently is, was to point out that , say, cars are much more fuel efficient /

than they once were, bc time and money was invested to make the tech better, and the same will happen with the non-recyclable elements of clean energy production their arguments are based on. I see Bluesky the same way. The INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY is the point. Example? The Meidas network.

The whole country not just a couple of social media sites have gotten worse in the Epstein Regime. Our president rage posts all night long and sleeps through his job, and the republic are silent. When the real world is the F'd up, it's spllitting hairs to only consider 2 social media apps.

The social media heyday is over. There are some values, but being dragged down by low brow hate speech. This site has a lot of useful information being posted. I'll stick around for a bit.

I don’t agree with the premise. Social media kind of sucks now. And not sure it ever was great. But I’m ok with the amount of juice here. It’s enough and it’s relatively peaceful to drink.

On thing we should do, is start boycotting the media institutions some of those elites work for. The New York Times has been nakedly drifting rightward under AG Sulzberger's tenure. Anybody whose politics are left of center should stop giving them money, and find other outlets to support.