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This is the crux of the debate, right? Whether it's doing mimicry or reasoning. I struggle to see how you could view it as purely mimicry. It has to tie together multiple novel thoughts in a logical construction to create its responses.
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how do you square this with many llms coming up with complex mathematical counterexamples that are not in the literature (nor anything close). for the record i think the downstream consequences suck pretty bad and also llms have no real world model but they can do math its hard to deny at this point
...then a large subset of the low-hanging fruit criticisms ("but they can't even count r's in "strawberry") vanish (bsky.app/profile/kimm...), and when you are not fixated on the low-hanging fruit, turns out they actually share a lot of commonalities with humans in terms of cognition!
I came up with an analogue for the infamous "how many r's in a strawberry" gotcha: it's tokenized st|raw|berry, and LLMs see the tokens, not the letter representation. So, imagine I give you the following emojis 😇🥩🍓 (saint, uncooked meat, a small edible fruit) coding for a word? How many r's?
I would suggest that this is necessarily so: any process that works even poorly at coming at truths must be an approximation of Bayes. But they e.g. share the same sort of features like dual-process structure, quirks that suggests they're doing things like subitizing, etc (arxiv.org/abs/2607.26179)
But is it "reasoning" in a way different than an "AI" in a video game against a human opponent? Or, is it just better at it? Computers have long been able to "reason" deductively based on programming. The key question, IMHO, is whether LLMs are engaged in a categorically different model of reasoning
It’s just flipping math. That it does it passably well and gives you interesting results does not mean it’s reasoning. I’ve had thoughts about this. ktlog.corpuscollusion.net/nsspain2024/ “if you understand the math, you can use words to make it do more interesting things than by default.”
It’s still not really clear *what* LLMs are doing, how reliable they are at doing it, and whether they’re better or worse than humans at it, because all the costs are obscured. even if we ultimately agree that they can “reason” that doesn’t really change my relationship to my own embodied reasoning.
if you'll forgive the pop psych cite: the experience of consciousness is not necessarily the mechanism of consciousness